2nd leg of the collapse starts now

From theeconomiccollapseblog:


If you watch any mainstream news program these days, it is almost a certainty that someone will mention the word "recession" before a half hour passes.  In fact, it seems like almost everyone is either predicting that we are going into a recession, or they are warning of the need to avoid a recession or they are proclaiming that we are still in a recession.  So will the U.S. economy once again be in recession in 2010?  When you consider all the signs that are pointing that way, the evidence is compelling.  The truth is that there is bad economic news wherever you turn.  There is bad news in the housing industry.  There is bad news in the financial markets.  There is bad news in the banking system.  There is bad news coming out of Europe.  There are even signs that the bubble in China may be about to burst.  Plus, the economic impact of the Gulf of Mexico oil spill could end up being the straw (or the gigantic concrete slab) that really breaks the camel's back.  So there are certainly a lot of pieces of news that "gloom and doom" economists can hang their hats on these days.  There is a very dark mood in world financial markets right now, and it seems like almost everyone is waiting for the other shoe to drop.  But does all of this really mean that we are looking at the start of another recession before the end of 2010?   
The truth is that nobody really knows.  Things certainly look very ominous out there.  The dark clouds are gathering and the economic winds are starting to blow in a bad direction.  The following are 24 pieces of evidence that do seem to indicate that very difficult economic times are imminent...


-U.S. Treasury yields have dropped to stunning new lows.  So why are they so low?  Well, it is because so many investors are anticipating that we are headed into a deflationary period.  In fact, many economists are warning that the fact that Treasury yields are so low is one of the clearest signs that economic trouble is ahead.
-The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index declined sharply to 52.9 in June.  Most economists had expected that the figure for June would be somewhere around 62.  If consumers aren't confident they won't be spending money.  If American consumers don't start spending money soon a lot of American retailers are going to go belly up.
-The M3 money supply plunged at a 9.6 percent annual rate during the first quarter of 2010.  If the M3 keeps declining at that kind of a rate it is going to put extreme deflationary pressure on the U.S. economy.
-Many economists are now warning that the "China investment bubble" is about to burst.  In fact, Kenneth Rogoff, Harvard University professor and former chief economist of the International Monetary Fund, claims that China’s property market is beginning a "collapse" that will send a shockwave across the globe.  One prominent economist that specializes in China is even forecasting that property prices in major Chinese cities are likely to soon experience a drop of up to 30 percent.
-Nouriel Roubini is warning that Europe's economy could stop growing as soon as this year.  Back in 2007 and 2008, the U.S. was the epicenter of the financial crisis, but many analysts believe that it will be Europe this time around.
-Vacancies and lease rates at U.S. shopping centers continued to get worse during the second quarter of 2010.  If things don't pick up soon will we see half empty shopping malls by the time Christmas rolls around?
-CBS News is reporting that the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico is hurting businesses "from coast to coast".  The longer this oil spill goes on the bigger of an impact it is going to have.  The cost to the American economy from this disaster could ultimately be in the trillions.
-Some analysts are warning that if BP goes under as a result of the Gulf of Mexico oil spill that it could cause the total collapse of the worldwide derivatives market and unleash a liquidity crisis unlike anything the world financial system has ever seen.
-The state of Illinois has stopped paying most of its bills and yet the flood of red ink continues to get even worse.  Illinois now ranks eighth in the world in possible bond-holder default.  That is even worse than California.
-Speaking of California, the Schwarzenegger administration has won an appellate court ruling saying it has the authority to impose the federal minimum wage of $7.25 an hour on more than 200,000 state workers as California wrestles with its latest budget crisis.
-Things are so bad at the state level in the U.S. that economist Mark Zandi is projecting that up to 400,000 workers could lose their jobs in the next year as states, counties and cities struggle with lower tax revenues and significantly reduced federal funding.
-Two Federal Reserve officials recently said that U.S. unemployment is likely to stay high for a long time.  Normally Fed officials are some of the biggest cheerleaders for the economy.  If they are not optimistic about the employment situation that is a very bad sign.
-Analysts are warning that the "death cross" is coming.  The Standard & Poor's 500 50-day moving average is about to cross beneath the 200-day moving average, and many economists say that this is a very strong indication that a new recession is about to begin.
-One prominent trader says that the Dow Jones Industrial Average is repeating a pattern that appeared just before financial markets collapsed during the Great Depression.
-Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, one of the most respected financial columnists in the world, really raised eyebrows recently when he declared that this "really is starting to feel like 1932".
-In the month of May, sales of new homes in the United States dropped to the lowest level on record.
-The National Association of Realtors recently announced that its seasonally adjusted index of sales agreements for previously occupied homes dropped 30 percent in May.

-It is being reported that sales of foreclosed homes in Florida made up nearly 40 percent of all home purchases in the state during the first part of 2010.
-Politicians across Europe have pledged to dramatically cut their national budgets, and many economists are warning that such a dramatic pullback in public sector spending could cause a very significant slowdown of the European economy.
-Banks in the U.K. are being instructed to hoard cash in preparation for the next financial crisis.
-One recent poll found that 76 percent of Americans believe that the U.S. economy is actually still in a recession.
-The average duration of unemployment in the United States has risen to an all-time high.  Millions of unemployed Americans are fighting off deep despair and depression as they find it nearly impossible to find a decent job.

-Small and mid-size banks across the United States are failing at a rapidly accelerating pace.  The truth is that the entire U.S. banking system is teetering on the brink of disaster.
-At this point just about everyone can see the writing on the wall.  Literally dozens of top economists and world leaders are declaring that we are likely to enter the second leg of a "double-dip recession" at some point over the next twelve months.
So yes, things are really, really bad.
Those who want to forecast a coming recession don't have to look too far for data that will back them up. 
But wait.
There is actually one prominent economist who says that it is virtually impossible that the United States will experience a recession in the next six months.
Goldman Sachs economist Andrew Tilton says that there is "no way in hell" that the U.S. economy is going into a recession.  To be more precise, Tilton says that there is a 1.6% chance that the U.S. economy will be in a recession six months from now.
So according to Tilton, there is a 98.4% chance (and he has computer models that supposedly back him up) that the U.S. economy will be growing when we reach the end of the year.
So what is actually going to happen?
Who knows.
The truth is that so many of these economists are so caught up in what is happening in the short-term that they are missing the bigger picture.
The bigger picture is that the U.S. economy is more over-leveraged than it ever has been before, and we are caught in a debt spiral that is basically impossible to unwind.
So in the final analysis it really doesn't matter if we are "officially" in a recession by the end of 2010 or not.  The truth is that the United States is headed for a devastating long-term economic collapse and there isn't much that anyone can do to change that reality at this point.

Banksters are Coming for Your Retirement Next

By Eric Blair

Activist Post - July 9, 2010

First, the banksters hoodwinked an angry public into bailing out their collateralized-debt obligations and derivative Ponzi scheme to the tune of what may turn out to be over $600 Trillion dollars.  Derivatives are nothing more than bets on other bets, on other bets, that are all completely worthless. So, we can assume that the taxpayer will be victimized for at least that amount for derivatives alone.  That’s about $2 million dollars for every man, woman, and child in America, or $100,000 for every person in the world.

They bet big with your investment money, got fat, then lost thousands of times more than everything real on Earth combined.  Then, representatives of the people bailed gave them out (including bonuses) while they laughed all the way to their respective banks.  Since government officials are doing their best to reject transparency, we can also only assume this number is much, much larger.

Sadly, their derivative Ponzi scheme is the least of the public’s current problems regarding the banks.  The international banks’ economic hit men have successfully enslaved-by-debt everything from nations, entire industries, state and local governments (who will need their bailout soon), and nearly every person on the planet. Even if an individual doesn’t have any bank financing or credit cards, they still pay the private Federal Reserve through inflation. As author of Confessions of an Economic Hit Man, John Perkins, would say: the time has come for the banks to collect their “pound of flesh” from average citizens by way of your pensions.  For an enlightening explanation of how economic hit men enslave entire countries please watch the video below:

Today, the word “austerity” is becoming commonplace in European countries, and America may indeed be next on the chopping block.  The IMF is pushing economically-weak European countries into austerity measures that target average citizens for debts their government owes to banks, including slashing and looting pension guarantees. Incidentally, the U.S. national debt, plus unfunded liabilities and personal and private debt, puts America in far worse shape than all European countries combined.

As we near the End Game, the banksters and their government accomplices are coming for the last of your wealth — your retirement money.  Recent headlines about the IMF “pressing the U.S.“ to reduce its debt is the first sign of things to come.  They have already methodically gutted the assets of most public pension funds by knowingly investing those funds in toxic junk.  In late 2009, Mark Brenner wrote an excellent article titled  Pensions: The Next Casualty for Wall Street which gave a breakdown of the dismal state of pensions:

Nearly $4 trillion worth of retirement savings were wiped out in the first weeks of the 2008 financial freefall. Half of the drop was concentrated in traditional pension plans, also known as defined-benefit plans. While most workers in these plans haven’t had their monthly benefits cut, unlike the 46 million people riding the stock market with 401(k) defined-contribution plans, the storm clouds are gathering.

Furthermore, we’ve also seen the captains of “private” industry pump their bottom line for years with their worker’s pension contributions (much like the federal government has done with Social Securityreceivables).  When it comes time to pay the pensions they dump the obligation onto the taxpayer through the Pension Benefit Guarantee Corporation which was reported to be $12.9 in the red for 2009.  Once again, the taxpayers are funding their own servitude while the ownership class pillages on the way up and on the way down.

I can’t help but be reminded that warnings of this day went unheard.  This George Carlin clip below sternly warned that the “owners of this country” will ultimately come for your retirement — but, hey, who was listening to a comedian?

That’s right, the day is rapidly approaching where they’ll come for your retirement.  Screw your guarantees you thought you worked your whole life for.  Apparently, contractual law does not apply to the servant class.  However, we all remember Hank Paulson and Tim Geithner arguing that the reason they must use taxpayer money to pay 100-cents-on-the-dollar for AIG’s rancid obligations was because it would be wrong to break contractual laws.  I guess we shouldn’t be surprised that they only respect contractual law when they are taking from the poor and giving to their rich partners in crime.

___________-

More:  EU - Work Until You're 70 To Pay Banksters
A European Commission green paper said that state pensions across Europe are no longer affordable and in danger of collapse unless official retirement ages are drastically hiked.

It also suggests workers will have to pay a greater proportion of their salaries into pension pots throughout their lives to avoid being plunged into poverty.

Last night, the warning was seen as yet another attempt by Eurocrats to exert control over Britain’s economy and meddle in citizens’ lives.

But angry critics pointed out that EU officials are entitled to take early retirement from the age of 55 on taxpayer-subsidised pensions worth up to 50 per cent of their final salaries.'

Read more...

Climategate Investigations Are Arrogant Insults

Canadian Free Press
Dr. Tim Ball
July 9, 2010

There were two British investigations into the behavior of scientists at the Climatic Research Unit (CRU) of the University of East Anglia (UEA) exposed in leaked emails. Both reports provide no answers, no explanations and are only telling for what they did not ask or do and how they were manipulated. The blatant level of cover up is frightening. These are acts by people who believe they are unaccountable because they have carried out the greatest scam in history with impunity. The degree of cover up in both cases is an arrogant in-your-face statement that we are the power and are not answerable to anyone. Their cover up almost belittles the ones they are investigating.

Lord Oxburgh, a member of the House of Lords, chaired the first investigation. His bias and self-interest is barefaced and makes his appointment shameless in its temerity.  He is chairman of the Carbon Capture and Storage Association, which believes carbon capture is potentially a trillion dollar industry. As James Delingpole reports “Oxburgh has paid directorships of two renewable energy companies, and is a paid advisor to Climate Change Capital, the Low Carbon Initiative, Evo-Electric, Fujitsu, and an environmental advisor to Deutsche Bank. Last month we revealed that Oxburgh had failed to declare his directorship of GLOBE, an international network of legislators with ties to the Club of Rome.” It’s as if they said who stands to gain the most by whitewashing what happened. The Club of Rome connection is most telling, because I have documented their role in initiating, identifying, and pursuing CO2 as the basis of capitalist destruction of the planet.

Oxburgh was appointed by UEA whose Pro-Vice Chancellor Professor Trevor Davies said he believed he would lead the investigation “in an utterly objective way.” We now know this means the objectivity was to ensure the false science claiming CO2 was causing global warming would be objectively maintained.

UEA consulted the Royal Society in selecting Oxburgh. They blithely ignored the fact he is a Fellow of the Society and that it had a track record heavily biased to supporting the false science of the CRU and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. (IPCC).  The Society also ‘recommended’ the eleven academic papers to be considered. When Steve McIntyre, who was instrumental in exposing some of the major scientific falsehoods and deceptions exposed by the emails, asked Oxburgh, “a few simple questions about the terms of reference and documentation of this “inquiry”” he receivedremarkable answers that he summarized as follows; “The net result, as you will see, is that Oxburgh says that they have no documents evidencing the terms of reference of the inquiry or the selection of the eleven papers, no notes, transcripts or other documentation of the interviews with CRU employees and Oxburgh refused consent for panelists to directly provide me with any notes that they might have taken.

BRAZENNESS OF THE ENTIRE EXERCISE

Oxburgh brushes off the entire set of problems and in doing so exposes the brazenness of the entire exercise. “Given the seriousness of the allegations they wanted our inquiry to be completed as quickly as possible both for the benefit of the individuals concerned and for the University’s internal concerns as well as for their wider concerns about the science. The intention was to supplement the wider and more formal Muir Russell review that was already underway and which I believe will report later this year.” His report was simply to stanch the bleeding while the larger whitewash was underway. Bob Ward, policy and communications director at the Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment at London School of Economics, expressed the concern about the projected spring 2010 publication date. “This is probably necessary to allow a thorough investigation, but it does mean that those who are using ‘climategate’ as a propaganda tool for their own political ends might be able to enjoy many more weeks of mischief-making.”

Yes, they might start asking questions and putting doubt in the public’s mind.  It might jeopardize the entire global climate scam that is designed to undermine capitalism and replace it with one-world government and total control over everyone in the world.

Sir Muir Russell was chosen chief investigator of the second committee because as a career bureaucrat he had established a reputation of finding what was required. True, he had no connection to the university or the climate science community, but all that meant was he was easily manipulated and controlled. Evidence of his naiveté appeared quickly with the first people chosen to help the investigation? One was the editor of the journal Nature with disturbing connections to CRU and Climategate who sensibly withdrew. The other was Geoffrey Boulton who failed to disclose connections to the UEA. Despite this, Russell kept him on the committee. As Bishop Hill reports, Boulton said, in effect, that he had tricked poor Muir Russell. While Russell may have intended to “select” Team members on “the basis they have no prejudicial interest in climate change and climate science”, Boulton had a different idea.

It is no surprise the final report is a complete whitewash. As McIntyre notes, “They adopted a unique inquiry process in which they interviewed only one side – CRU. As a result, the report is heavily weighted towards CRU apologia – a not unexpected result given that the writing team came from Geoffrey Boulton’s Royal Society of Edinburgh.” There’s that Royal Society connection again. The report exploits lack of knowledge or understanding of climate science just like the CRU and IPCC. They couldn’t allow involvement of experts who knew the science and how it was manipulated.

But the omissions are more basic and ones everyone can understand. For example, why didn’t they trace the source of the leaks? Why were only some of the emails leaked? Russell’s report chastises CRU for failing to provide data on request and for being secretive or refusing Freedom of Information (FOI) requests. What drove them to do this with information obtained and produced by public funding? It doesn’t matter how much climate science you understand, the level and extent of avoidance goes beyond laziness, time consumption as they tried to claim or any other excuse. Ironically, Phil Jones, Director of the CRU, provides the answer in his email response to Warwick Hughes request for information on how he produced the claim that global temperatures had risen 0.6°C since the end of the 19th century. This claim, with the falsified hockey stick, was central to the 2001 IPCC Report used as the scientific basis for global warming. Jones replied on 21st February 2005, “We have 25 or so years invested in the work. Why should I make the data available to you, when your aim is to try and find something wrong with it.” Jones never disclosed the information and then said it was lost. These actions were symptomatic of the entire activities at the CRU and then the IPCC. Those using human induced global warming for political and economic ends could not allow anyone to find there was something wrong with the data or the method. Instead they laugh in our faces with the most transparent, manipulated brazen cover up possible.

_____________________


More:  Never Mind the Climategate Whitewash – What About Our New £50 Billion Annual Climate Bill?

So the Sir Muir Russell inquiry into Climategate was, pretty much, a whitewash. But then we’d already guessed that. The danger with all these official cover-ups – reported with salivating glee by the Warmists’ drooling useful idiots in the Mainstream Media – is that they distract from the main point.

And the main point, at least as far as British taxpayers are concerned is this: under the terms of the 2008 Climate Change Act we are the only country in the world legally committed to making swinging reductions in CO2, the harmless trace gas which helps plants grow and which we really need more of not less in order to soften the blow of the imminent global cooling.

How much is this lunacy going to cost us? The figure which used to be quoted was £18 billion per annum. Apparently this has now more than doubled.'
Read more...

Good-bye Social Security, It Was Nice Knowing Ya!

 By Ernest Stewart


"On the spending side, we could and should consider a higher retirement age, or one pegged to lifespan."
~~~ House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer (D - MD) ~~~


When der Fuhrer says we ist the Master Race
We heil, heil, right in the der Fuhrer's face
Not to love der Fuhrer is a great disgrace
So we heil, heil right in der Fuhrer's face!
Der Fuhrer's Face ~~~ Spike Jones version


Our old mess sergeant's taste buds had been shot off in the war.
But his savory collations add to our esprit de corps.
To think of all the marvelous ways
They're using plastics nowadays.
It makes a fellow proud to be a soldier!
It Makes A Fellow Proud To Be A Soldier ~~~ Tom Lehrer


Ever since old Dementia-head Ray Guns was in office, the Rethuglicans and their blue dog Demoncrat allies have been doing their best to get their hands on the Social Security money stash and let the old folks just die off. They have been stealing billions of dollars every year, under every president, from the trillions of dollars of surplus we Americans have paid into the system. They love to use the word "entitlements" to describe it like that's a bad thing. We're entitled to it, not as a gift, but because we put the money there so we wouldn't slowly starve to death when we could no longer work. Our millionaire congress doesn't have those problems so they're not interested in them! Hell yes, we're entitled but you'd never know that listening to the likes of Johnny (drinky drinky) Boehner who wants to take it all away to pay for our needless, useless war crimes in the Middle East. Johnny says we're broke. Well then, end the wars, bring our kids home and we'll have several trillion dollars in surpluses. If that's not enough, then bring our jobs back from overseas. A few years of full employment at livable wage jobs and we'll be back in the black.
It's bad enough that they're all bought and paid for by their corporate masters but Rethuglicans want to steal your retirement and give it away to their puppet masters, too, leaving you to die. So do a host of Blue Dog Demoncrats like House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer, who also thinks that you should have to wait to retire at the age of 70, as Johnny Boehner proposes. Of course, you'll probably be laid off at 50 or so and won't be able to find even a job saying "Welcome to Wally World" so I hope you have lots of gold and sacks of rice to last you until you turn 70!
Oh, and while they're at it, they're going to have to get rid of that pesky Medicare and Medicaid as all that money would be better spent on the other side of the world blowing brown-skinned people into tiny bits. If the Rethuglicans get control of the House and Senate, you'll see their health care plan, i.e., "don't get sick and if you do get sick, die quickly!" Who knows? Perhaps they'll bring back the mobile gas wagons or just send us all off to the gas ovens in the new "Happy Camps!"
Of course, we Americans could get off our fat posteriors and raise some righteous hell with our Con-gressmen and Sin-ators and throw the bums out come November or we could just hope for the best and do nothing. After all, our elected officials are there just to serve the people right? If you buy that, folks, I have this bridge in Brooklyn I'd like to interest you into buying too!

In Other News

I see where Barry met with the leader of "der Master Race" the other day. Being the goyim cow that he is, Barry was kissing plenty of Herr Netanyahu's butt. Benjamin was in town to finalize the plans for the Palestinian "final solution" and being a Zionist puppet, Barry went along with his master's plans.
Although it's been carefully scripted that Washington and Tel Aviv have very different plans for the West Bank and Gaza ghettos, not to mention East Jerusalem, that's only for show, meant to keep Barry from being seen as the Zionist lackey that he is.
Recall, if you will, when Barry first found out that he had the Demoncratic nomination for president. He didn't stop to thank his supporters. He didn't stop to thank the DNC or any of the parties' leaders. He ran straight as an arrow to the AIPAC meeting and vowed his undying allegiance to Israel. Not to America but to Israel!
For those of you wondering how Israel gets such undying allegiance when Jews only make up 1 1/2% of the US population, it's because they control most of the world's money and since we have (as Will Rogers pointed out) "the best politicians that money can buy" and since the Jews have controlled all US currency since we turned the Treasury over to them in 1914, it's rather obvious, is it not, to why they hold such power over Washington!
I'm sure, that during the meeting Barry got his marching orders for the upcoming attack on Iran and instructions on how Tel Aviv wants it spun on Fox spews and other MSM corpo-rat outlets. Perhaps we'll sacrifice an old, outdated, useless fleet of ships like we did at Pearl Harbor or maybe another airliner will take out the Capital Building or some US city, like Houston for example, will awake to a nuclear dawn which will be blamed on Iran. Or maybe Israel doesn't feel like it needs to make any excuses at all and will just nuke Iran because it wants to? If anyone says something negative about their war crimes, they can all start wailing holocaust, holocaust, holocaust, as they do every time they commit a crime against humanity!
I'm guessing the attacks will come just before the November election, when the heat of summer leaves Iran. Perhaps on a Friday evening in the US when the news shuts down and it's Saturday in the gulf and the Jews are out of the Temple. Perhaps on "All Hallows Eve?" Somehow that seems just right, doesn't it? Another good time is summer recess, when your congressional critters are away from Foggy Bottom trying to cover their asses from the righteous wrath of the folks at home and Barry is sitting on a beach on Maui with a fat doobie of Maui Wowie in his hand!

And Finally

They're dancing in the White House tonight! Barry's Gitmo Kangaroo Court got its first conviction for him! Bin Laden's cook pled guilty to terrorism charges and they only had to torture him for 8 years to get a confession. We can all sleep better tonight knowing this rogue cook has gone down!
Ibrahim al Qosi pled guilty to conspiring with al Qaeda (the CIA) and providing material support for terrorism court "stooge"...er...court "spokesman" Captain Joe DellaVedova said. Joe, however, didn't mention that when Oosi committed the crime of cooking, it wasn't a crime. It became a crime retroactively in 2006, many years after the fact when Bush's traitors (as the Congress was known at the time) retroactively made it one and Qosi was charged with terrorist cooking, the charge to which he just pled guilty so they would stop water boarding him. He now faces the possibility of life in prison for cooking sh*t-on-a-shingle! Having eaten Army chow I can testify that sh*t-on-a-shingle is, indeed, a crime against humanity but strangely enough, it was my favorite army chow!
Human rights groups said Qosi's conviction was hardly a validation for the Guantanamo court. "In fact Mr. al Qosi's case is a textbook example of the inability of the military commission system -- now in its third incarnation -- to achieve swift justice," said Daphne Eviatar of Human Rights First. "The case has dragged on for more than six years without a trial. By the time he entered his guilty plea today, the commission still hadn't decided whether it even has jurisdiction over him."
Mr. Qosi will be sentenced in August by the Kangaroo Court which now has its fourth conviction. The first two pled guilty to stop their torture and were sent home. The third got life for driving Osama around and that is likely what Oosi will receive for being a terrorist cook! Yes, Barry should be very pleased with himself! It makes me embarrassed to be an American! How about you?

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Until the next time, Peace! (c) 2010 Ernest Stewart a.k.a. Uncle Ernie is an unabashed radical, author, stand-up comic, DJ, actor, political pundit and for the last 9 years managing editor and publisher of Issues & Alibis magazine.