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Jan 26, 2011

The World's Ominous Reckoning

Must read of the day:
by Thomas H Greco
Realitysandwich.com (January 25 2011)

In a recent Washington Post article titled Europe's Ominous Reckoning, economist Robert Samuelson correctly argued that "Ireland's economic crisis is ... not about Ireland". What he seems to not recognize is that "Europe's ominous reckoning" is not about Europe.

The reckoning will be global because the money and banking regime is global - and deeply flawed.

Discussions about possible solutions to the debt crisis tend to degenerate into ideological bickering because ideologies provide an inadequate framework in which to understand the nature of the problem and discover real effective solutions. Fiscal conservatives want to cut social spending so as to avoid raising taxes on the rich and privileged class. Political liberals have largely caved in to the same interests because they think that supporting the privileged class's agenda is their only hope of gaining power. They will pay lip service to a social agenda and throw a few crumbs to the masses in an attempt to get elected, but they will ultimately advance the same elitist agenda, as have Presidents Clinton and Obama. Progressives argue that budgets can be balanced by cutting the military budget and raising taxes on the rich, but they remain impotent because political power has been so thoroughly centralized that popular progressive agendas have not a prayer of being implemented. Even if they were, they would simply make matters worse because under the present money and banking regime, a balanced government budget is not possible. How can the debate move beyond ideologies, and common ground be found?

Samuelson, like almost all conventionally trained economists, blames the woes of Ireland, and every other country, on failures in policy. He says, "Most European economies suffer from the ill effects of some combination of easy money, unsustainable social spending and big budget deficits", but he fails to address the deeper questions of why? Why has money been easy?
Why is social spending unsustainable? Why have budget deficits been too big?

It is not only a problem of European economies, it is a problem for virtually all national economies. As Samuelson points out, even the most prosperous countries have accumulated enormous debts. The governments of Germany and France, for example, have, respectively, gross debts of 76 percent and 86 percent of GDP (GDP is a measure of total economic output).
The debt of the United States government is projected to exceed 100% of GDP within the next couple of years. And this picture does not even include the debts of lower levels of government - states, counties, and municipalities - or all of the private sector debt that burdens companies and individuals.

If the world has become so prosperous and productive, why all this debt, and why does it continue to grow ever more rapidly?

It is not a matter of policy, that is, how we operate a flawed system. The problem is structural and systemic. The system is designed to create debt, and ever more of it. Like a pernicious cancer, debt is a parasite that is killing us, and in the end a parasite will die along with its host. How much of our well-being shall we sacrifice to keep feeding this cancer? Are we willing to starve ourselves and our children, to endure cuts in spending for education and public services, to sacrifice our hard-won freedoms, in order to sustain a system that despoils the earth, destroys the social fabric, and creates ever greater economic inequities?

A few have been calling for "debt forgiveness", a remedy analogous to cancer surgery. That may be a good start, but even that does no go far enough. We can excise the cancer, but if we do not recognize and eliminate its fundamental cause it will simply grow back. We can restart the game of Monopoly, but the outcome of the next round will be very much like that of the previous round unless we change the rules - or choose to play a different game.

The fact is, there is a debt imperative that is built into the global system of money and banking, and debt is eating us alive. As I wrote in my first book more than twenty years ago, our money system, based as it is on banks' lending money into circulation at compound interest, requires debt to grow with the passage of time. Virtually all of the money today is created when banks make "loans". The compounding of interest on these loans means that debt must grow as time goes on, not slowly, but at an accelerating rate. Ever greater amounts of money must be borrowed into circulation for this system to continue. When the private sector debt can no longer be expanded, government assumes the role of "borrower of last resort". That is why government budget deficits have become chronic and continue to grow. In the latest cycle of Bubble and Bust, governments are rescuing the banks by taking "toxic" debt off their hands and giving them government bonds in return. In this way, the system can be sustained a little bit longer, but at costs that have yet to be tallied.

The current global predicament is the late-stage symptom of this fundamental flaw. Every political currency collectivizes credit. It is our credit that supports each national currency. We have allowed the banks to control our credit and we pay them interest for the "privilege" of accessing some of it as bank "loans".

What must be done? The answer is simple, but few have been willing to hear it: interest must be eliminated from the money system to put an end to the growth imperative. To modern economists, such a proposition is heresy, foolish even, unthinkable! Interest to them is an essential inducement to save and invest and a necessary means of regulating credit and the economy. Nonsense, I say, a gross error and delusion fostered by incessant propaganda, media hype, and financial mumbo-jumbo. In an economy that is free from inflation, preservation of one's capital is sufficient motivation for saving, and return on productive investments can be had in the form of ownership shares (so called equity investment) instead of interest on debt. Such equity investments share both the rewards and the risks inherent in a productive enterprise, making the relationship between the user of funds and the provider of funds more harmonious and fair. As for regulating credit, we don't need interest to do that; we can merely decide to withhold or offer credit, to whom, for what purpose, and in what amounts.

We need to learn to play a different game. We need to organize an entirely new structure of money, banking, and finance, one that is interest-free, decentralized, and controlled, not by banks or central governments, but by businesses and individuals that associate and organize themselves into cashless trading networks. This is a way to reclaim "the credit commons" from monopoly control and create healthy community economies.

In brief, any group of traders can organize to allocate their own collective credit amongst themselves, interest-free. This is merely an extension of the common business practice of selling on open account - "I'll ship you the goods now and you can pay me later", except it is organized, not on a bilateral basis, but within a community of many buyers and sellers. Done on a large enough scale that includes a sufficiently broad range of goods and services spanning all levels of the supply chain from retail, to wholesale, to manufacturing, to basic commodities, such systems can avoid the dysfunctions inherent in conventional money and banking and open the way to more harmonious and mutually beneficial trading relationships that enable the emergence of sustainable economies and promote the common good.

This approach is no pie-in-the-sky pipedream, it is proven and well established. Known as mutual credit clearing, it is a process that is used by scores of commercial "barter" companies around the world to provide cashless trading for their business members. In this process, the things you sell pay for the things you buy without using money as an intermediate exchange medium. It's as simple as that. According to the International Reciprocal Trade Association (IRTA), a major trade association for the industry, "IRTA Member companies using the "Modern Trade and Barter" process, made it possible for over 400,000 companies World Wide to utilize their excess business capacities and under-performing assets, to earn an estimated $12 billion dollars in previously lost and wasted revenues".

Perhaps the best example of a credit clearing exchange that has been successful over a long period of time is the WIR Economic Circle Cooperative. Founded in Switzerland as a self-help organization in 1934 in the midst of the Great Depression, WIR provided a means for its business members to trade with one another despite the shortage of official money in circulation. Over three quarters of a century, in good time and bad, WIR has continued to thrive. Its more than 60,000 members throughout Switzerland trade about $2 billion worth of goods and services annually.

Yes, it is possible to transcend the dysfunctional money and banking system and to take back our power from bankers and politicians who use it to abuse and exploit us. We do it, not by petitioning politicians who are already bought and paid for by an ever more powerful elite group, but by using the power that is already ours to use the resources we have to support each other's productivity and to give credit where credit is due.

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Related:

How to Abolish the Fed and Convert to Gold as Money

America's Middle Eastern Puppet Regimes Are Falling Like Dominoes

From George Washington blog, Tuesday, January 25, 2011:


The images from the protests in Cairo, Egypt today are stunning. See this, this and this.
President Mubarak's family has already fled the country.
As Raw Story notes:
Demonstrators calling for economic and political reforms broke through police barriers and began marching in Cairo's streets.
Protesters gathered outside the Supreme Court in downtown Cairo and held large signs that read "Tunisia is the solution" amid massive police deployment, an AFP correspondent said.
Chanting "Down with Mubarak" -- in reference to Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak who has been in power for three decades -- they broke through several police cordons and began marching towards Tahrir Square, in scenes seldom witnessed in Egypt.
Others shouted "Tunisia is not better than Egypt" as the crowds began to swell.
A security official told AFP that at least 20,000 to 30,000 police had been mobilized in the center of the capital alone, and that the area housing the interior ministry had been sealed off.
***
The protest, called by the pro-democracy youth group the April 6 Movement, coincided with a national holiday to mark Police Day.
The Christian Science Monitor reports:
The fact that the protests took place across the nation, and were not led by a particular political movement or opposition party, set them apart from demonstrations in the last decade, he says.
“This time it is really a national movement,” he says. “It’s quite remarkable that the slogans raised by the demonstrators were not typical of any political party. They were general slogans about democracy, ending the state of emergency, and lowering prices. This is the beginning of a process.… The government will not respond favorably so I think the continuation of the protests is almost certain.”
While some Americans assume this is a "Arab affair", the fact is that Egypt's president Mubarak is a yes-man to the U.S., and the fall of the Tunisian and now Egyptian leaders are really the ouster of U.S. puppet regimes in the Middle East.
As Eric Margolis wrote last week:
Oops! Something has gone terribly wrong with Washington’s plans for regime change in the Mideast. Wasn’t there supposed to be a US and British engineered revolution against Iran’s mullahs, followed by installation of a cooperative pro-western government and a bonanza for western oil companies?
The revolution came, all right, but in the wrong place. The explosion of popular fury in Tunisia that ousted its dictator of 23-years is sending shock waves across the Arab world and has alarm bells ringing in Washington.
Pay no attention to President Barack Obama’s pious bromides welcoming the revolution in Tunisia. The US, France and their Arab satraps are deeply worried that Tunisia’s popular revolution could spark similar uprising against the dictatorships or monarchies in other members of America’s Mideast Raj, notably Egypt.
It has come to light that Tunisia’s ruling elite had dinners and wine flown in from Paris at government expense for lavish parties in their beachside villas. Shades of the Iranian revolution, when women of the ruling elite in Tehran used to send their dirty laundry to Paris for hand washing, or fly to Paris to have their hair done for a soiree.
*** The US and France have always hailed Tunisia as a poster-boy for "moderation, stability, and democracy. "
Translation: 1. moderation: following orders from Washington and making nice to Israel; 2. stability: crushing all opposition, particularly Islamist-oriented parties, muzzling the media, and paving the way for US business; 3. democracy: holding fake elections every few years. The US media soft-soaped Ben Ali and gushed over Tunisia’s "moderate" virtues. They did the same for Egypt’s Anwar Sadat.
America’s other "moderate" Arab clients, Egypt, Morocco, Algeria, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Yemen, Oman and some of the Gulf states, followed precisely the same model of ersatz elections, ferocious internal oppression, and absolute obedience to Washington.
Tunisia closely resembled other Arab non-oil states in having very high unemployment, social and intellectual stagnation, lack of free speech or expression, and no hope for the future unless one had links to the rapacious, self-serving, western-backed ruling oligarchy. On top of this, in most Arab states, over 60% of the population is under 25.
*** Mainstream Islamist parties in the Mideast have nothing to do with al-Qaida (which barely exists any more) or anti-Western programs. Their primary concern is getting rid of the western-backed oligarchies that keep the Muslim world backwards and in thrall. Their platform is sharing resource wealth, social welfare, education, uprooting thieving oligarchies and fighting endemic corruption.
The big question now is will Tunisia’s dramatic events be a harbinger of other explosions across the volatile Arab world? All eyes are on Egypt, the home of a third of all Arabs. Egypt’s 83-year-old military ruler, Husni Mubarak, is a giant version of Tunisia’s Gen. Ben Ali.
Mubarak was engineered into power by the US after the killing of longtime CIA "asset" Anwar Sadat. Gen. Mubarak has ruled Egypt like a modern-day pharaoh ever since, crushing both violent extremist and legitimate political opposition. Mubarak’s rigged elections, winked at by Washington, are every bit as egregious as Tunisia’s.
So could the flames of Tunisia’s revolution spread to Egypt?
Today, we got the answer.
Hopefully, moderate Arab governments will replace the deposed regimes, and thus bring real stability to the region. Moderate regimes are those that are not fundamentalists of one type or another, not puppets of any superpower (the U.S. or China), and which focus on implementing sustainable economic and human rights policies which benefit the most of their people possible, instead of just the ruling elite.
__________


Related:

Tunisia seeks arrest of ex-leader


Sleeping Arab Giant Stirs US Fears


Facebook and Twitter Both Blocked in Egypt amind unprecedented protests



RT Raw Footage: Dramatic fresh clashes in Tunisia as police fire tear gas

The real deal between China and USA

From MarketoracleJan 25, 2011
I coined a term called the "Chinamese Twins" for my readers. I advised my readers that two separate dinners were to be held at the White House, the feast receiving the most publicity was held as the "Grand State Dinner." I regarded this banquet as window dressing held for the benefit of the world press corp, assorted media channels and photo ops to gorge the public adoration of pomp and publicity.
The media did their job of selling adversarial news in the best tradition of sensational journalism, tv panel programs and assorted penny dreadfuls warning us of Chinese Stealth Bombers and aircraft carriers flying the "Red Star." However, I ask my readers to keep there eye on that other tete a tete labeled as an "intimate dinner". That soiree was being held in private with all the politicians, bankers and generals from both sides breaking secret bread. I could not help but muse: "Oh-to be a fly on the wall of that room." The dinners are over, the guests have left carrying home their bags of goodies. What a tasty take home they are. Reading between the lines it was Dylan who wrote: "You don't have to be a weatherman to see which way the wind is blowing."
  1. In my previous article I have covered China's new move to make the Yuan a world currency.
  2. Boeing (BA) has signed a pact to give the Chinese our aircraft technology secrets.
  3. We have agreed to share nuclear secrets to China.
  4. US and Chinese Energy Companies announced a variety of partnerships to share information. Alcoa (AA), Duke Energy, Chinese Power Investment Corporation and Shenhua Group for $7.5 billion dollars.
  5. General Electric (GE) announced a joint venture to China's Shenua Group to sell clean-coal technologies.
  6. The Chinese are entering the U.S sports apparel field and challenging Nike and Adidas.
  7. China has entered the retail banking industry where U.S. Citizen can invest in the Yuan.
The truth is that China and the U.S. realize that they need each other to survive. The U.S. markets are celebrating over the 60+ international deals in which China has agreed to buy some of our best technologies and secrets.
Everyone is leaving home happy except investors in precious metals and mining stocks. In October and November, major institutions sold their positions into the hysteria of QE2, where a major amount of retail and momentum traders entered into metals. At that time a lot of the fund flow was to basic commodities such as uranium, rare earths, copper, wheat, oil and gas and potash. Now the major gold stocks are on sale and I believe we will see a reentry into gold miners and gold and silver bullion as it returns to long term multi-year support. Major gold stocks such as Goldcorp (GG), Newmont(NEM) and Barrick (ABX) are reaching oversold levels not seen in the past two years at a time that they will be producing hefty returns and returning possibly large dividends to shareholders.
Profit taking is a natural process in a bull market which shakes out short term traders and provides opportunities for long term traders and institutions to add or initiate positions. Gold has done it every six months for the past two years since all the bailouts and Central Bank actions began. Don't be too surprised if gold reverses back into the limelight as investors hedge against further sovereign credit defaults out of Europe and within states and municipalities within the Unites States.
One of the most important deals I highlighted above which shows China's international interests in expanding its economic presence and promoting the Yuan as a major reserve currency is its expansion into the U.S. retail banking business. China signed a deal that would acquire retail bank branches in the U.S for the first time. Now U.S. residents can transfer their savings from cheap U.S. dollars to the strengthening Yuan. A deal has been made, China will allow the U.S. dollar to devalue to fund record breaking deficits, if China is allowed entry into the heart of American Capitalism, its retail banking industry. China's financial institutions are in a much stronger position to acquire failing toxic banks after 2008's financial crisis. This will promote the strengthening Yuan as an investment to a U.S. residents by offering the ability to convert and encourage savings. China is attempting to purchase more silver and gold to support the Yuan against other debt ridden and weak currencies. In fact this year they have purchased up to five times what they have been buying in previous years. They have also started funds to invest in ETF's and have just opened a branch in Toronto the epicenter of resource companies.
The U.S. dollar will continue to decline so the U.S. can pay its debts and provide the funds to bankrupt states and municipalities, if China is allowed access into the heart of the North American Financial Markets as outlined above.
This move could be the beginning of a major trend of Chinese financial institutions migrating into the U.S. to expand their global presence. I expect major deals to occur this year, which may be very lucrative for natural resource investors as China has shown an aggressive interest for foreign supplies of precious metals and basic commodities.
This major deal of entering the retail U.S. banking market was the most important event to Chinese officials. China needs to expand its presence globally. They are rapidly developing into the Western Hemisphere and this move is a first step in developing the Yuan as an International Currency. The average American will now have access to enter a bank and invest in the Yuan. This is a signal to my readers about the very grave danger of a U.S. dollar collapse into new lows. China wants to expand overseas with their huge foreign capital reserves and they need basic commodities to fuel its rapidly developing global economy. This could be the beginning of several major steps which could make gold and silver soar. Now mining stocks and bullion are providing interesting opportunities.
Grab your free 30-day trial of my Members-Only Premium Stock Analysis Service NOW at:
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By Jeb Handwerger
© 2011 Copyright Jeb Handwerger- All Rights Reserved 

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

© 2005-2011 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.

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Protect Your ASSets: Buy Gold or Silver NOW - If you wait you will be late.
(He who panics first, just may salvage something.