Latests:

May 29, 2012

Germany Has A Generous Proposal To The Broke PIIGS: "Cash For Gold"

From ZeroHedge, By Tyler Durden



Back in February, as part of the latest Greek bailout of European banks, we noted that the most subversive part of the German-led proposal was nothing short of a gold confiscation scheme.
the European bailout of Greece, is now formally a Greek bailout of Europe, funded by the country's already negative primary surplus, or better said - deficit (don't try to make mathematical sense of that - a scene out of Scanners is guaranteed). Hence, negative bailout. But the piece de resistance, and the reason why Greece is the in situ version of bankster heaven is the news from the NYT that Greece is also about to have negative gold.
Ms. Katseli, an economist who was labor minister in the government of George Papandreou until she left in a cabinet reshuffle last June, was also upset thatGreece’s lenders will have the right to seize the gold reserves in the Bank of Greece under the terms of the new deal.
Well, they may be broke, and they may be bailing out Europe, but at least they'll have no gold: sounds like a sweet deal - it makes perfect sense that Greeks are taking every incremental humiliation from a syndicate of few fat, bald types who have access to a digital money printer, with the supine determination of an Oliver Twist.
Today, courtesy of The Telegraph, we learn that Germany is quietly reminding the world that the stealthy, but voluntary, accumulation of goldis what it is all about. As part of a renewed push for quasi-Federalism, whereby Germany would fund a "European Redemption Pact", in which Berlin would, in the form of Germany-backed joint bonds, be responsible for any sovereign debt over the 60% Maastrtich limit, but with a big catch. The catch is that "a key motive is to relieve the European Central Bank of its duties as chief fire-fighter. "We have got to get the ECB out of the game of distributing money, and separate fiscal and monetary policy. Germany has only two votes on the ECB Council and has no way to control consolidation," he said. Germany would have a lockhold over the fund, able to enforce discipline. Each state would have to pledge 20pc of their debt as collateral. "The assets could be taken from the country’s currency and gold reserves. The collateral nominated would only be used in the event that a country does not meet its payment obligations," said the proposal.
In other words: a perfectly legitimate, and fully voluntary scheme in which sovereign gold is pledged to a German "pawn broker" until such time as the joint bonds are extinguished, and if for some "unpredictable" reason, a country fails to meet its obligations, read defaults, all the pledged gold goes to Germany!
But why Gold? Why not spam. After all gold is selling off, spam is stable, and the dollar is soaring. Couldn't Germany merely demand that broke countries simply pledge all their USD reserves, and keep their worthless, stinking yellow metal?
Apparently not.
More from The Telegraph:
This demand could enflame opinion in Italy and Portugal. Both states have kept their bullion, resisting the rush to sell by Britain and others. Italy has 2,451 tonnes of gold, valued at €98bn in March.

Alessandro di Carpegna Brivio, a gold expert at Camperio Sim in Milan, said Italy should treat such proposals with care. "Everything being done at a European level is in the interests of Germany and France, to save their banks. It is not in the interest of Italy," he said.

"We should use our gold to take care of our own debt, collateralizing bonds above 100pc of GDP. That would be a far more targeted approach," he said.

David Marsh, author of books on the euro and the Bundesbank, said Germany is not yet ready for the redemption fund. "The Germans have to do something, but I don’t think it will happen before the elections next year. Spain will have to go through storm first," he said.

Ultimately, a sinking fund cannot tackle the root cause of the eurozone crisis. It may cap debt costs but it does not alter the intra-EMU currency misalignment between North and South, or help the Latin states close the chasm in labour competitiveness.

The South would still face the long grind of "internal devaluation" -- or wage deflation -- breaking societies on the wheel. Yet the Redemption Pact is at least a first step back from Purgatory.
All of this of course, leads us to another post from February, where we again correctly predicted, that it was all about the PIIGS gold holdings:
Projected PIIGS Pillage: 3233.5 Tons Of Gold To Be Confiscated By Insolvent European Banks

While hardly discussed broadly in the mainstream media, the top news of the past 24 hours without doubt is that in addition to losing its fiscal sovereignty, and numerous other things, the Greek population is about to lose its gold in a perfectly legitimate fashion, following amendments to the country's constitution by unelected banker technocrats, who will make it legal for Greek creditors - read insolvent European banks - to plunder the Greek gold which at last check amounts to 111.6 tonnes according to the WGC. And so we come full circle to what the ultimate goal of banker intervention in the European periphery is - nothing short of full gold confiscation.

So just how much gold will be pillaged by the banker oligarchy (it is amusing how many websites believe said gold is sacrosanct by regional national banks, and thus the EUR is such a stronger currency as it has all this 'gold backing' - hint: it doesn't, as all the gold is about to be transferred to non-extradition countries)? As the World Gold Council shows in its latest update, between all the PIIGS, who will with 100% certainty suffer the same fate as Greece (which has shown that unlike during World War 2, it is perfectly willing to turn over and do nothing) there is 3234 tonnes of gold to be plundered. And likely more as further constitutional amendments will likely make the confiscation of private gold the next big step. how much does this amount to? At today's prices this is just shy of $185 billion. Of course by the time the market grasps what is going on the spot price of the yellow metal will be far, far higher. Or, potentially far, far lower and totally fixed as the open gold market is eventually done away with entirely in a reversion to FDR gold confiscation and price fixing days.

The chart below shows total gold holdings for the top 40 countries. Little Ireland is off the chart with just 6 tonnes of gold.
So there you have it: Europe's broke countries may be broke, and may demand Germany bail them out, and Germany is even willing to do it... in exchange for one small thing: just over 3000 tons of gold.
Check to your broke European countries.
_______


Related:

European Debtor Nations To Pawn Their Gold Reserves

More Big Gold Purchases by Central Banks Reported to IMF
Greece Gives Banks $22.6 Billion As Exit Panic Causes Savers To Pull Funds

NARCOTICS: CIA-Pentagon Death Squads and Mexico's 'War on Drugs" Mexico Arrests Three Army Generals

by Tom Burghardt
Global Research, May 28, 2012
Antifascist Calling...


Earlier this month, the Mexican government arrested three high-ranking Army generals "including a former second in command at the Defense Ministry," The New York Times reported.
According to multiple press reports, Tomás Ángeles Dauahare, who retired in 2008, was an under secretary at the Defense Ministry during the first two years of President Felipe Calderón's "war" against some narcotrafficking cartels and had even been mentioned as a "possible choice for the top job."
The Times disclosed that in the early 1990s Ángeles "served as the defense attaché at the Mexican Embassy in Washington," a plum position with plenty of perks awarded to someone thought by his Pentagon brethren to have impeccable credentials; that is, if smoothing the way the for drugs to flow can be viewed as a bright spot on one's résumé.
The other top military men detained in Mexico City were "Brig. Gen. Roberto Dawe González, assigned to a base in Colima State, and Gen. Ricardo Escorcia Vargas, who is retired."
Reuters reported that "Dawe headed an army division in the Pacific state of Colima, which lies on a key smuggling route for drugs heading to the United States, and had also served in the violent border state of Chihuahua."
When queried at a May 18 press conference in Washington, "whether and to what extent" these officers participated in the $1.6 billion taxpayer-financed boondoggle known as the Mérida Initiative or had received American training, Pentagon spokesperson Lt. Col. Robert L. Ditchey II tersely told reporters, "We are not going to get into those specifics."
Inquiring minds can't help but wonder what does the Pentagon, or certain three-lettered secret state agencies, have to hide?

CIA-Pentagon Death Squads
Although little explored by corporate media, the CIA and Defense Department's role in escalating violence across Mexico is part of a long-standing strategy by American policy planners to deploy what the late Col. L. Fletcher Prouty called The Secret Team, "skilled professionals under the direct control of someone higher up." According to Prouty, "Team members are like lawyers and agents, they work for someone. They generally do not plan their work. They do what their client tells them to do."
In the context of the misbegotten "War on Drugs," that "client" is the U.S. government and the nexus of bent banks, crooked cops, shady airplane brokers, chemical manufacturers, and spooky defense and surveillance firms who all profit from the chaos they help sustain.
As Narco News disclosed last summer, "A small but growing proxy war is underway in Mexico pitting US-assisted assassin teams composed of elite Mexican special operations soldiers against the leadership of an emerging cadre of independent drug organizations that are far more ruthless than the old-guard Mexican 'cartels' that gave birth to them."
"These Mexican assassin teams now in the field for at least half a year, sources tell Narco News, are supported by a sophisticated US intelligence network composed of CIA and civilian US military operatives as well as covert special-forces soldiers under Pentagon command--which are helping to identify targets for the Mexican hit teams."
"So it should be no surprise," Bill Conroy wrote, "that information is now surfacing from reliable sources indicating that the US government is once again employing a long-running counter-insurgency strategy that has been pulled off the shelf and deployed in conflicts dating back to Vietnam in the 1960s, in Latin America in the 1980s and 1990s, and beyond, and in more recent conflicts, such as in Iraq."
That strategy, as numerous journalists and researchers have reported, provides specialized training and heavy-weapons to neocolonial clients that the imperial Godfather believes will do their bidding. More often than not however, there are serious consequences for doing so.
As The Brownsville Herald revealed nearly a decade ago, the Zetas were the former enforcement arm of Juan García Ábrego's Gulf Cartel; then Mexico's richest and most powerful drug trafficking organization.
During the 1980s, the Gulf group negotiated an alliance with Colombia's Cali Cartel, amongst the CIA's staunchest drug-trafficking allies during the Iran-Contra period. By the 1990s, the Mexican Attorney General's Office estimated that the organization handled as much as "one-third of all cocaine shipments" into the United States from their suppliers and were worth an estimated $10 billion.
But as the Herald disclosed, the Zetas, now considered by the U.S. government to be the "most technologically advanced, sophisticated, and dangerous cartel operating in Mexico" were "once part of an elite division of the Mexican Army, the Special Air Mobile Force Group. At least one-third of this battalion's deserters was trained at the School of the Americas in Fort Benning, Ga., according to documents from the Mexican secretary of defense."
By 2010, the Zetas had broken with their former Gulf partners to become one of the most formidable, and brutal, DTOs in the area. According to published reports, the organization's core operatives include corrupt former federal, state and local police officers, renegade soldiers and ex-Kabiles, the CIA and Pentagon-trained Special Forces of the Guatemalan military, responsible for horrendous atrocities during that country's U.S.-sponsored "scorched earth" campaign against leftist guerrillas; a war which killed an estimated 250,000 people, largely at the hands of the military and right-wing death squads.
Perhaps this is one reason why the Pentagon "won't get into" the "specifics" behind the generals' recent arrests, nor will the Justice Department come clean about the "quid-pro-quo immunity deal with the US government in which they [the Sinaloa Cartel] were guaranteed protection from prosecution in exchange for providing US law enforcers and intelligence agencies with information that could be used to compromise rival Mexican cartels and their operations," as Narco News reported.
While the implications of these policies may be scandalous to the average citizen, they're part of a recurring pattern, one might even say a modus operandi reproduced ad nauseam.
More than three decades ago we learned from Danish journalist Henrik Krüger in The Great Heroin Coup, that the CIA was at the center of the "remarkable shift from Marseilles (Corsican) to Southeast Asian and Mexican (Mafia) heroin in the United States," and that the legendary take-down of the "French Connection" actually represented "a deliberate move to reconstruct and redirect the heroin trade... not to eliminate it." (emphasis added)
A similar process is underway in Mexico today as drug distribution networks battle it out for control over the multibillion dollar market flooding Europe and North America with processed cocaine from South America's fabled Crystal Triangle. In fact, the illicit trade would be nigh impossible without official complicity and corruption, on both sides of the border, and at the highest levels of what sociologist C. Wright Mills called the Power Elite.
Without batting an eye however, the Times told us that the arrest of Mexico's top "drug fighting" generals "is sure to rattle American law enforcement and military officers, who in the best of times often work warily with their Mexican counterparts, typically subjecting them to screening for any criminal ties."
Really?
Not if a U.S. Army Special Operations Forces Field Manual (FM 3-05.130), titled Unconventional Warfare, serves as a guide for the Pentagon's current strategic thinking on the conflict in Mexico. Published in 2008 by WikiLeaks, the anonymous authors informed us that:
Irregulars, or irregular forces, are individuals or groups of individuals who are not members of a regular armed force, police, or other internal security force. They are usually nonstate-sponsored and unconstrained by sovereign nation legalities and boundaries. These forces may include, but are not limited to, specific paramilitary forces, contractors, individuals, businesses, foreign political organizations, resistance or insurgent organizations, expatriates, transnational terrorism adversaries, disillusioned transnational terrorism members, black marketers, and other social or political "undesirables." (Unconventional Warfare, p. 1-3)
From this perspective such "irregular forces" sound suspiciously like today's army of professional contract killers or sicarios, who act as mercenaries for the cartels and as political enforcers for local elites.
According to carefully-crafted media fairy tales, we're to believe that unlike corrupt Federal and local police, the Army, which has deployed nearly 50,000 troops across Mexico are somehow magically immune to the global tide of corruption associated with an illicit trade worth hundreds of billions of dollars annually.
However, ubiquitous facts on the ground tell a different tale. Like their U.S. counterparts in Afghanistan and Iraq, the Mexican Army stands accused of serious human rights violations. And, like marauding U.S. imperial invaders, Mexico's Army regularly carry out illegal detentions, extortion, extrajudicial killings, torture along with the "disappearance" of indigenous and left-wing activists.
Indeed, like their American and NATO counterparts in Afghanistan today, some elements within the Mexican Army have forged highly-profitable alliances with drug traffickers, especially among organized crime groups afforded "cover" by the CIA. But unlike the global godfathers in Washington however, Mexican authorities have brought criminal charges against corrupt officials.
In the Times' report we're informed that "a retired general, Juan Manuel Barragán Espinosa, was detained in February, accused of having leaked information to a drug gang. Another general, Manuel Moreno Avina, and several soldiers he commanded are on charges of murder, torture and drug trafficking in a border town in northern Mexico."
The Houston Chronicle disclosed that the "investigation of the generals reportedly was spurred by informants' testimony linked to the August 2010 arrest of Edgar Valdez Villarreal, the Laredo native known as La Barbie who served as the Beltran Leyva's top enforcer."
According to the Chronicle, "accusations of political motivation--by the generals' wives, lawyers and others--have been raised because of prosecutors' nearly two-year delay in acting on the informant's testimony and because the arrests come less than six weeks ahead of Mexico's presidential elections."
In fact, just days before being taken into custody, Ángeles "participated in a national security conference organized by supporters of presidential front-runner Enrique Peña Nieto, candidate of the Institutional Revolutionary Party, or PRI."
But Ángeles' inconvenient arrest just weeks before contentious national elections isn't the only problem that PRI front-runner Peña Nieto has to worry about.
The Associated Press reported that Peña Nieto's one-time ally, the former governor of the violence-plagued state of Tamaulipas, Tomás Yarrington Ruvalcaba, has been accused in a civil action filed by federal prosecutors in Texas that he "'acquired millions of dollars in payments' while in public office from drug cartels 'and from various extortion or bribery schemes'."
"Yarrington," AP disclosed, "then used various front men and businesses 'to become a major real estate investor through various money laundering mechanisms,' according to documents filed in Corpus Christi."
The former governor "was also named earlier this year in the federal indictment of Antonio Peña Arguelles, who was also charged with money laundering in San Antonio. That indictment alleged that leaders of the Gulf and Zetas cartels paid millions to Institutional Revolutionary Party members, including Yarrington," AP reported.
Curiously enough however, that AP report failed to mention Yarrington's close political ties to politicians on this side of the border. Indeed, according toDigital Journal writer Lynn Herrmann, "Yarrington was at Texas Governor Rick Perry's swearing into office for his first full term in 2003. Prior to that, the Tamaulipas governor was a recipient of a Texas Senate resolution honoring him."
"Even closer was the relationship between Yarrington and President George W. Bush," Herrmann wrote, "a relationship apparently developed when junior was governor of Texas. In 2000, the Los Angeles Times quoted Bush as saying, 'Tomás is terrific, worked with him a lot'."
Now why wouldn't the AP report that?!
While one cannot dismiss that political motivations may lie behind the arrests, salient facts coloring these latest examples of drug war shenanigans again betray that this phony war is being waged not to stamp-out the grim trade but over who controls it.

Another Day, Another Bent General
The arrests were hardly precedent setting if truth be told. Indeed, the best known case of collaboration between the Army and the Cartels was that of Gen. José de Jesús Gutiérrez Rebollo.
After having risen in the ranks to become a Three-Star Divisional Commander in the 1990s, Gutiérrez was appointed by the Attorney General of Mexico during the reign of President Ernesto Zedillo, currently a director of the drug-tainted financial black hole Citigroup, accused of laundering tens of millions of dollars in drug money for Raúl Salinas de Gortari, the brother of Carlos Salinas, the former president of Mexico. With powerful connections, the general became that country's top-ranking drug interdiction officer as head of the Instituto Nacional para el Combate a las Drogas (INCD).
From his perch, Gutiérrez had access to intelligence provided to the government by Mexican and U.S. secret state agencies. The treasure trove of data available to the general and his patrons included files on antidrug investigations, wiretaps on cartel leaders and informant identities.
There was just one small problem.
After receiving a tip that Gutiérrez had moved into an upscale Mexico City neighborhood in an apartment "whose rent could not be paid for with the wage received by a public servant," the Attorney General's Office opened an investigation.
It turned out that Gutiérrez had moved into palatial digs owned by a confederate of Amado Carrillo Fuentes, the legendary head of the Juárez Cartel and "Lord of the Heavens." The drug lord earned that moniker because he moved vast quantities of cocaine into the U.S. aboard a fleet of airplanes purchased from bent brokers on the American side of the border. This too is a recurring pattern, as Daniel Hopsicker revealed during his investigationinto the secret history of a fleet of fifty drug planes bought with hot money laundered through U.S. banks.
During the course of their investigation, Mexican authorities obtained a recording of Gutiérrez and Carrillo Fuentes which discussed payments to the General; remuneration for his role in leaving the Juárez Cartel alone, then Mexico's largest drug corporation.
In a 1997 interview with The Boston Globe, Francisco Molina, the former head of the anti-narcotics unit, said that during the change of command, "he personally handed over to Gutiérrez all of Mexico's 'most delicate' drug-fighting information."
"The files included thousands of documents on open investigations," the Globe reported, "pending operations, wire taps and voluminous material on Amado Carrillo Fuentes, the trafficker to whom Gutiérrez was linked."
That information, Molina said, "places many people at risk, and it throws into the garbage the huge amount of resources, money, and time that were spent" on operations. "It's like letting the enemy in to dig around in the files."
And with the U.S. State Department poised to expand the Mexican secret state's access to the latest in communications' intercept technologies asAntifascist Calling recently reported, the Cartels may soon have even more information at their disposal and the wherewithal to strike their adversaries with ruthless efficiency.

'Dirty Warrior' and 'Lord of the Heavens' United in the Great Beyond
It remains to be seen whether the accused military men will suffer the fate of another narco-linked Army commander, retired Gen. Mario Acosta Chaparro.
The Latin American Herald Tribune reported last month that Acosta, "who was convicted of drug-gang ties a decade ago but subsequently exonerated, has died of wounds suffered in a gunshot attack, sources with the capital's district attorney's office said."
According to McClatchy's "Mexico Unmasked" blog, the general was killed "as he descended from his chauffeured vehicle to pick up his Mercedes Benz (how many generals can afford to buy MBs?) in a suburban area of Mexico City. A guy in a motorcycle fired 3 rounds from a 9mm handgun into Acosta's head."
As Antifascist Calling reported in 2010, this was the same general who was shot and wounded in Mexico City during an alleged "robbery attempt." At the time, El Universal reported that police claimed a thief wanted to "steal the general's watch" and shot him several times in the abdomen when he resisted.
It must have been a nice watch.
But with last month's murder it appears that Acosta's past caught up with him. "In 2007," Antifascist Calling reported, "after a six-year imprisonment on charges of providing protection to late drug trafficking kingpin Amado Carrillo Fuentes ... Acosta Chaparro was released from custody after his conviction was overturned on appeal."
Freed on technicalities despite testimony by witnesses under the protection of the Mexican government, documents published by WikiLeaks revealed that the Swiss Bank Julius Baer's Cayman Islands unit hid "several million dollars" of funds controlled by Acosta and his wife, Silvia, through a firm known as Symac Investments.
WikiLeaks wondered whether Mexican authorities would "want to know whether the several millions of USD had anything to do with the allegations that Mr Chaparro, a former police chief from the Mexican state of Guerrero, stopped chasing his local drug dealers and joined them in business."
The secret-spilling web site averred: "With the assistance of Julius Baer, Mr Chaparro was able to invest several millions of USD in Symac with all the secrecy which the Caymans allowed and to draw out some $12,000 a month until he suddenly stopped it in July 1998. The following year, a particularly notorious colleague from the Mexican police became an FBI informer and offered new evidence against him."
During his 2002 trial on drug trafficking and corruption charges one of the witnesses, Gustavo Tarín Chávez testified that Acosta answered a phone call and a voice on the other end of the line said: "Son! How are you? Son!" Tarín Chávez told the court that the only person who called the general "son" was none other then Amado Carrillo Fuentes.
During that call, the late drug lord told Acosta that he had spoken with Rubén Figueroa Alcocer, the former governor of Guerrero, and that "everything was settled."
Multiple reports in the Mexican press subsequently revealed that the general had been given orders to pick up fifty AK-47 assault rifles, thirty semiautomatic pistols, twenty two-way radios and a SUV from Carrillo Fuentes and deliver them to the governor.
Talk about a high-priced errand boy!
Tarín Chávez also testified that Acosta did all the technical planning for the Juárez group and made arrangements for the arrival of Colombian aircraft loaded with cocaine and that this logistics work involved the delivery of vehicles, cash and communications' equipment to other military officers who worked for the drug lord.
Though his case was tossed out by the Mexican Supreme Court due to a "lack of evidence" (perhaps one or all of those witnesses lost their "protection" and "vanished," into an unmarked grave perhaps?), like other close U.S. allies in the "War on Drugs," Acosta had been linked to Mexico's "dirty war" against the left during the 1970s under the administration of President Luis Echeverría.
Echeverría was Interior Minister during President Gustavo Díaz Ordaz's corrupt, repressive regime. Díaz, with much encouragement from the Pentagon, State Department and the CIA, ordered the murders of hundreds of student protesters in the now-infamous Tlatelolco Plaza massacre a few days before the start of the 1968 Summer Olympics.
In 2006, investigative journalist Jefferson Morley and The National Security Archive obtained previously classified documents which revealed "CIA recruitment of agents within the upper echelons of the Mexican government between 1956 and 1969. The informants used in this secret program included President Gustavo Díaz Ordaz and future President Luis Echeverría."
Those documents detailed "the relationships cultivated between senior CIA officers, such as chief of station Winston Scott, and Mexican government officials through a secret spy network code-named 'LITEMPO.' Operating out of the U.S. Embassy in Mexico City, Scott used the LITEMPO project to provide 'an unofficial channel for the exchange of selected sensitive political information which each government wanted the other to receive but not through public protocol exchanges'."
Scott, a strident anticommunist who saw Moscow's "hidden hand" everywhere, suspected that student protests were "a communist controlled rebellion," and argued that the movement represented "a classic example of the Communists' ability to divert a peaceful demonstration into a major riot." Never mind that radical students despised the Stalinist Communist Party of Mexico and viewed them as conservative sell-outs; for Scott and his CIA masters, the fable of an International Communist Conspiracy directed by the Kremlin had to be maintained at all costs.
"As the student protests grew larger," Morley wrote, "Scott's information from the LITEMPO agents informed Ambassador Freeman's increasingly dire cables to Washington, which noted that Díaz Ordaz and the people around him were talking tougher. The government 'implicitly accepts consequence that this will produce casualties,' the ambassador wrote. 'Leaders of student agitation have been and are being taken into custody....In other words, the [government] offensive against student disorder has opened on physical and psychological fronts'."
The rest, as they say, is history. Army units stationed around the perimeter of Tlatelolco Plaza and in the windows of adjoining buildings began to open fire on the protesters; hundreds were killed and more than fifteen hundred people were arrested, many of whom were subsequently tortured and then "disappeared."

Heroin Coups and Iran-Contra Connections
Díaz and Echeverría did more than just ignore crimes perpetrated by the drug and CIA-linked intelligence agency, the Direcciòn Federal de Seguridad, or DFS; in the wake of the massacre, they handed DFS and the Army a blank check to carry out an anti-leftist purge which claimed thousands of lives.
Analyzing the CIA's role in global drug trafficking networks, researcher Peter Dale Scott wrote: "One of the most crime-ridden CIA assets we know of is the Mexican DFS, which the US helped to create. From its foundation in the 1940s, the DFS, like other similar kryptocracies in Latin America, was deeply involved with international drug-traffickers. By the 1980s possession of a DFS card was recognized by DEA agents as a 'license to traffic'."
According to Scott, "DFS agents rode security for drug truck convoys, and used their police radios to check of signs of American police surveillance. Eventually the DFS became so identified with the criminal drug-trafficking organizations it managed and protected, that in the 1980s the DFS was (at least officially) closed down."
Though 90 at the time of this writing, Echeverría, until recently, was considered the éminence grise of Mexican politics. He continued to wield considerable power long after his presidential term ended, mostly through his influence over the "old guard" of the Partido Revolucionario Institucional, or PRI, the special police and army forces stood up under his watch, along with his alleged ties to the drug cartels.
As Scott and Jonathan Marshall disclosed in Cocaine Politics, the "failure" of various anti-trafficking programs such as Operation Condor "were inevitable given the records of the two Mexican presidents" who oversaw the operation.
"Luis Echeverría, under whom the program began," Scott and Marshall wrote, "appears to have been linked to [drug trafficker and CIA asset Alberto] Sicilia Falcón through his wife, whose family members had suspected ties to the European heroin trade." And when José López Portillo "took charge in 1976," Scott and Marshall averred, he "reportedly amassed hundreds of millions of dollars in criminal profits and bought large estates in Spain with the proceeds."
As Henrik Krüger related in The Great Heroin Coup, when he was arrested in 1975, Sicilia Falcón "claimed to be an agent of the CIA, and that his drug ring had been set up on orders and with the support of the agency."
"Part of his profits," Krüger wrote, "were to go towards the purchase of weapons and ammunition for distribution throughout Central America for the destabilization of 'undesirable' governments. If true, U.S. heroin addicts were again footing the bill for clandestine paramilitary operations and anti-Communist terror campaigns."
But the former president's shady connections didn't stop there. Indeed, Echeverría's brother-in-law, Rubén Zuno Arce, was convicted in U.S. Federal District Court in California in 1992 and sentenced to life in prison for his role as a top-tier leader of Miguel Ángel Félix Gallardo's Guadalajara drug cartel and for the torture-murder of U.S. DEA agent Enrique "Kiki" Camarena in 1985.
Camarena had amassed evidence that the CIA and U.S. State Department considered Gallardo "untouchable" because of the "special relationship" forged by the Agency amongst drug traffickers and the Nicaraguan Contras. Scott and Marshall disclosed that "Mexico's biggest smuggler, Miguel Ángel Félix Gallardo, responsible for moving four tons of cocaine a month into the United States, was also 'a big supporter' of the Contras, according to his pilot Werner Lotz. Lotz told the DEA that his boss advanced him more than $150,000 to pass on to the Contras."
In an 1996 PBS interview with former DEA deep-cover specialist turned whistleblower, Michael Levine, the co-host of The Expert Witness Radio Show, Levine related that "Camarena was a DEA agent working on high level drug investigations. He was stationed in Guadalajara, Mexico and his investigations were taking him right into the Contra resupply lines, that is, the Contras trafficking in drugs with the support of the Hondurans, the Mexicans, and everybody else and Enrique was down there working this case with an informer and suddenly he's arrested in broad daylight by Mexican police. He's taken to a ranch of a top Mexican criminal and slowly tortured to death over a 24 hour period."
"And later what is... what's found is Enrique was investigating [Honduran drug lord Juan Ramón] Matta-Ballesteros and Matta-Ballesteros' partner Gallardo and Matta-Ballesteros, by the way, was on the State Department payroll... in spite of being a documented heavy drug trafficker. His airline that we knew was used to traffic drugs, was used on the US government payroll to fly these Contra resupply mission. So here's this murderer who was later convicted of murdering... or conspiring to murder Kiki Camarena and he was on the US government payroll in spite of the fact that the DEA called him a drug trafficker, in spite of the fact that Kiki Camarena was investigating him. Now here's Kiki Camarena investigating the Oliver North supply line and he's tortured to death."
As investigative journalist Robert Parry revealed two years later on the Consortium News web site, Matta-Ballesteros' airline, SETCO, "emerged as the principal company for ferrying supplies to the contras in Honduras."
"During congressional Iran-contra hearings, FDN political leader Adolfo Calero testified that SETCO was paid from bank accounts controlled by Oliver North. SETCO also received $185,924 from the State Department for ferrying supplies to the contras in 1986."
Let's get this straight: Ollie North, a convicted felon who turned a blind eye to drug trafficking Contra networks he helped stand up runs for the U.S. Senate, hosts a "national defense" program on Fox News and earns millions of dollars. "Kiki" Camarena, who's investigating North's criminal assets is brutally murdered by those same "resistance" fighters.
Curiously enough, when Sinaloa Cartel head Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán escaped in 2001 from a maximum-security prison during the "reform" administration of Vicente Fox, then the leader of the neoliberal Partido Acción Nacional, or PAN, and whose Federal Police chief was recommended by Luis Echeverría, it emerged that Guzmán once worked for Matta-Ballesteros, Gallardo and Zuno Acre's Guadalajara Cartel.
Small world.
But then again, with the CIA suppressing evidence that they negotiated a quid-pro-quo with the Sinaloa Cartel and can't talk about it because of "national security," or that an FBI drug-trafficking informant was at the center of the Justice Department's gun-walking "Fast and Furious" fiasco and can't be prosecuted, perhaps controlled chaos is just what the Global Godfather wants.
A bent general or two is the least of our problems.

Tom Burghardt is a researcher and activist based in the San Francisco Bay Area. In addition to publishing in Covert Action Quarterly and Global Research, he is a Contributing Editor with Cyrano's Journal Today. His articles can be read on Dissident VoicePacific Free PressUncommon Thought Journal, and the whistleblowing website WikiLeaks. He is the editor of Police State America: U.S. Military "Civil Disturbance" Planning, distributed byAK Press and has contributed to the new book from Global Research, The Global Economic Crisis: The Great Depression of the XXI Century.

Tom Burghardt is a frequent contributor to Global Research.  Global Research Articles by Tom Burghardt

Forget A United States of Europe – Here Comes the Union of Socialist European Republics

From SilverVigilanteMay 29th, 2012
Red_Europe
A popular meme circulating today postulates Europe as becoming the United States of Europe. The play on words suggests that Europe is moving towards an American-style brand of federalism. However, what Europe is getting out of a collapse of the European Union is a Soviet collapse in reverse – that is, instead of a collapse from a totalitarian one-party state into a privatized,  market and trade liberalized state, the European Union will shift from social democracy  to a totalitarian state a la the Soviet Union. Call it the Union of Socialist European Republics, or USER.
The European core is feeling risky, looking to shuffle the deck.  Angela Merkel, leading symbol of the euro-core, has far-reaching political reforms to the EU on her mind, such as tighter controls on spending by euro-zone national governments and, eventually, the introduction of Eurobonds. Quentin Peel, FT correspondent Berlin, writes:
For Ms Merkel it is a question of the democratic legitimacy of the entire integration process. She sees a dangerous disconnection between national politics, and national parliaments, and the European parliament. Her party wants to see the Commission president directly elected.
The chancellor knows perfectly well that these are profoundly important political issues, and hugely controversial. But she has decided that only with such fundamental reforms can European monetary union survive.
Tension between the European core and the European periphery provide insight into the social tensions arisen from a cracking economic society. In an interview with Greek leftist leader Alexis Tsipras, the magazine Spiegel seemingly taunts the Greek leader.
SPIEGEL: Which “others” do you mean? The Greek economy is already in a shambles.
Tsipras: What I mean by that is if our economic foundation is completely destroyed and the decisions of an elected Greek government are not responsible for it but, rather, certain political forces in Europe. Then they too will be guilty, for example Angela Merkel.
SPIEGEL: Are you seriously claiming that the reforms which Europe is demanding as a precondition for loan assistance are the reason for Greece’s miserable situation?
Tsipras: If we are once again pushed and blackmailed into an austerity program that has so obviously failed, then it won’t be long before Greece is in fact no longer capable of paying its creditors. The result will be a halt in payments, one into which we were practically forced. This would not only be dangerous for Greece, but for the entire European economy. These days, the financial systems of all countries are so closely intertwined with each other that one can’t limit the crisis geographically. It’s a problem of all countries and of all national economies.
SPIEGEL: If Greece ultimately exits the euro, you will also bear some of the blame. You promised your voters the impossible: retaining the euro while breaking Greece’s agreements with the rest of Europe. How can such a plan find success?
Tsipras: I don’t see any contradiction in that. We simply don’t want the money of European citizens to vanish into a bottomless pit. The fact that there is financial assistance is the principle of European solidarity and a mark of being part of a community. That’s good. But we think these resources should also be put to sensible use: for investments that can also generate prosperity. Only then will we in fact be able to pay back our debts.
Europe’s economic and social problems will be solved politically, as the Union’s monetary system is not singular enough so as to, on its own, proceed on a program of restructuring. The politics will have to get the ball rolling, nudging the European economic sphere towards a level of sophistication where further economic integration (tighter controls) occurs naturally.
The eurozone does not enjoy the exorbitant privilege that the U.S. does in the world reserve currency.  The U.S. taxpayer, sitting on the world reserve, functions as a lender to Europeans.  The question is, do international interests dependent upon the world policeman policies of the United States want to jeopardize that role?
We do not believe so. We believe that a crisis in Europe will present the conditions necessary to further homogenize the continent and bring in a central authority, but this will be amidst a temporary collapse of the monetary union before elites can bring in an updated superstate-enterprise. The United States will not outright bailout the monetary union in Europe, but will assist militarily and through intelligence services to maintain order.  The blowback will be monumental, as an era of civil disobedience conflagrates across Europe.
EUROPOL will have to serve as the state security police and play an important role in USER politics, just like the KGB and its predecessor agencies in the Soviet Union. Whereas, in the Soviet Union, the KGB was key to the Stalinist terror in which mass murder eliminated millions of “terrorists” and “hooligans,” perhaps EUROPOL will play a central role in clearing-the-board of political dissidents.
UBS soberly warned of this in their Investment Research release, in which the Swiss bank submits that if member states begin to defect from the euro, leading towards a collapse of the single currency union, “some form of authoritarian or military government” would likely ensue.
In such an unfolding, we do not expect the response by international institutions to be friendlier to Europe than the Soviet Union based solely on the fact that these institutions are largely run by U.S. and European interests. And so that means Europe can expect radical changes via “shock therapy” recommended by the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund, which will mean the sudden escalation of price and currency controls, withdrawal of state subsidies, and immediate trade liberalization dominated by a united front of  demise-of-the-nation-state transnational corporations that monopolize national resources wholesale.
It will be in their interest to consolidate the European System into a more unified whole so that business can be conducted again in an orderly manner. Investor George Soros has saidrepeatedly that Europe  needs “a crisis to create the political will for Europe to create an [central] authority.”
Similar to that which transpired in the wake of the Soviet collapse, the collapse of the Euro will be characterized by 50% decline of both GDP and industrial output over a two-and-a-half to five year period.
In the latest issue of Diplomaatia, the Estonian foreign-affairs journal, Ivan Krastev, head of the Centre for Liberal Strategies, a Bulgarian think-tank, reminds people why there is little reason to rule out a disintegration of the Eurozone:
The Soviet collapse teaches us that just because the economic costs of disintegration would be very high, this is not a reason for it not to happen. To believe that the EU cannot disintegrate simply because it would be too costly offers only weak reassurance that the Union will continue to be stable.
Paradoxically, the belief that the Union cannot disintegrate, backed by the economists and shared by Europe’s political class, is one of the risks of disintegration. The last years of the Soviet Union are a classical manifestation of this dynamic. The perception that disintegration is ‘unthinkable’ could encourage policy makers to try to push dangerous policies under the assumption that ‘nothing really bad can happen’ in the long term, and foster the idea that anti-EU policies or rhetoric might even be helpful in the short term.
The Soviet collapse is the most powerful demonstration that the disintegration of the EU need not be the result of a victory of anti-EU forces over pro-EU forces. More likely, it will be the unintended consequence of the growing dysfunction of the system and the elites’ misreading of the political dynamics in their own societies. Reflecting on the Soviet collapse, the eminent historian Stephen Kotkin is convinced that the real question to be asked is, “why the Soviet elite destroyed its own system?” The Soviet collapse is the best demonstration that the rise of anti-integration forces can be the outcome, rather than the cause of collapse.
Austerity measures within months will cause panic in the streets if  people lose access to food and medicines. Police action will have to be swift and forceful so as to prevent escalation into rebellion.  With the euro at 11-month lows currently, rhetoric will at this point further work to divide the continent. Just as the colonized world of the nineteenth and twentieth centuries, there is a periphery and a core in Europe now, and the splintering will lead to authoritarianism akin not to the United States system, with the waning pomp and elation of a young, yet tired country, but the cold brute of a neo-soviet superstate.
_____-

Risk of Bank Runs & Forcible Conversion Deepens

CHART OF THE DAY: This Is The Scariest Chart In Europe Right Now

Spanish Retail Sales Tumble

Spain stuck in recession in second quarter

Bank of England readies plan for Euro collapse

Switzerland Is Drawing Up a Eurozone Breakup Contingency Plan

Euro: A Conspiracy Of Banksters - Bankers Want To Keep Greece Mired In Depression


From Prison Planet.comTuesday, May 29, 2012 (my emphasis)
By Paul Joseph Watson
An astounding quote buried at the bottom of a CNBC article lifts the lid on the arrogance of the global banking elite and their desire to see Greece remain mired in depression.
The article, entitled Greece to Leave Euro Zone on June 18: Wealth Manager, focuses on Integral Asset Management’s Nick Dewhirst’s contention that Greece will exit the single currency the day after national elections on June 17 if the populist party is victorious.
However, in the very last paragraph of the story we read;
“Kit Juckes, global head of foreign exchange at Societe Generale, told CNBC’s “Worldwide Exchange” (see video above) that the best outcome was “the status quo.” “A Greek economy in depression, austerity that guarantees they’ll stay in depression and living on life support from the rest of Europe is the best,” he said.
As the representative of Societe Generale, one of Europe’s biggest banks, Juckes is brazenly admitting that the elite would rather see Greece rot and decline into a failed state than allow her to leave the euro and become economically independent once again.
Juckes’ quote also underscores how the austerity measures imposed on Greece by European technocrats are not in the country’s best interests at all and are in fact designed to keep Greece’s economy under the dictatorial control of the banking elite.
As we have previously documented, the biggest fear amongst technocrats is not for the welfare of the Greek people in the event of bank runs and panic engendered by an exit from the euro, but that a post-euro Greek economic recovery would provide a good example for other countries in the eurozone to follow.
In a Financial Times piece written by Arvind Subramanian, a Senior Fellow at the Peter G. Peterson Institute for International Economics, which counts amongst its directors numerous influential Bilderberg members, including former Federal Reserve chairman Paul Volcker, former United States Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers, and Bilderberg kingpin David Rockefeller, the elite’s true concerns over a ‘Grexit’ are perfectly encapsulated.
As Nick Dewhirst explains, the pro-euro camp has been exaggerating the negative consequences of a Greek exit by ignoring the fact that it would in fact be a boon for the Greek economy. “Suppose that by mid-2013 Greece’s economy is recovering, while the rest of the eurozone remains in recession. The effect on austerity-addled Spain, Portugal and even Italy would be powerful. Voters there would not fail to notice the improving condition of their hitherto scorned Greek neighbour. They would start to ask why their own governments should not follow the Greek path and voice a preference for leaving the eurozone. In other words, the Greek experience could fundamentally alter the incentives for these countries to remain in the eurozone, especially if economic conditions remained grim,” writes Subramanian, adding that Greece’s potential exit “may prove an infectious model” and lead to the demise of “the eurozone and perhaps for the European project.”
“Greeks would no longer be able to afford German cars and Germans would be able to buy Greek villas and the young unemployed in Greece would have jobs as tourism booms. The best thing would be that they [Greeks] could blame the foreigners,” he said.
Globalists want to keep Greece in depression and “living on life support from the rest of Europe” as Juckes puts it because they know that if Greece escapes the clutches of the technocrats its inevitable economic recovery will blaze a trail for other eurozone countries to follow suit, leaving the elite’s 50-year plus project for a European federal superstate in tatters.
*********************
Paul Joseph Watson is the editor and writer for Prison Planet.com. He is the author of Order Out Of Chaos. Watson is also a regular fill-in host for The Alex Jones Show and Infowars Nightly News.
________-


Related:

The Prisons in Greece are Running out of Food

Another Look at Euro Area Capital Flight


Quantifying Capital Flight

We have last talked about the flight of depositors from banks in peripheral countries as well as the refusal of the private sector in surplus countries to finance the current account deficits of the periphery in mid April in 'Inner-European Capital Flight'. The topic has continued to crop up frequently with the beginning of act three of the Greek crisis and the worsening crisis conditions in Spain.
Recently Citigroup analyst Matt King has attempted to quantify the extent of private sector capital flight by backing out TARGET-2 and other official inflows (such as SMP purchases and 'troika' loans) from the total foreign inflows according to the balance of payments data of the countries concerned. Note that private sector capital flight comes in different shapes – for one thing, bank deposits are withdrawn or sent to the 'euro area core' or elsewhere, for another foreign investors are selling their bond holdings (the latter means of course that domestic buyers or the ECB must step in).
The upshot of the exercise is that both Spain and Italy have experienced capital flight amounting to roughly 10% of GDP each, and seem destined to go down the path of Greece, Portugal and Ireland, i.e,  the process seems likely to continue. Only, it will probably happen even faster, as investors are no longer as willing to delay such decisions as they were initially when the 'GIP' trio (Greece, Ireland, Portugal) got into trouble.
As King notes, bondholders face a very asymmetric risk-reward trade-off. He compares them to a 'flock of sheep grazing on coupons'. They are normally happy to keep grazing, but they won't sit still when their capital seems suddenly at risk. Since they are faced with very limited upside but a lot of potential downside, once they begin to run from risk it becomes very difficult to get them to change direction. Sort of like a herd of sheep becoming aware of a lion in their midst.
One of the factors that is accelerating the flight of foreign bondholders are ratings downgrades and the associated change in the weightings of bonds in certain index benchmarks. We have discussed this phenomenon before in the case of Portugal, which has experienced a crash in its bonds when it lost its investment grade rating.




Spain and Italy – The state of private inflows after backing out TARGET-2 liabilities, via Citigroup - click chart for better resolution.



Unfortunately, so King, a number of data are only available with a considerable delay, especially data on foreign bond holdings (we have previously noted that data from the euro area are often quite late. One must wait for up to two months to be able to calculate changes in the true money supply, and the same holds for various other central bank data such as TARGET-2 balances. The lag is even worse in the case of foreign bond holdings and the data tend to be inconsistent to boot). However, one can still infer with the above mentioned method how big the flight of private capital is in toto, and the speed and direction of the trend. Since the 'GIP' trio is further ahead in the process than both Spain and Italy, and there is an observable and easily explained trend – namely the fact that worried bondholders tend to continue their flight once it has begun, one can also infer where exactly Spain and Italy are probably headed in this context.



Holders of Spanish assets, disaggregated: 'MFI' stands for 'monetary financial institutions'. As can be seen, both foreign and domestic non-MFI depositors are fleeing Spain's banks, while foreigners have been net sellers of government bonds and RMBS,  replaced by domestic buyers (mainly the banks – which in turn have been financed by the ECB's LTRO's and lately ELA) - click chart for better resolution.



The same exercise in the case of Italy. As can be seen, only foreign depositors have reduced their exposure – domestic depositors retain large exposure to Italy's banks – so far, anyway - click chart for better resolution.



Data on foreign bank deposits in the 'GIP' countries, as well as private sector government bond holdings in Greece and Ireland - click chart for better resolution.



The next chart shows the percentage by which foreign bond holdings have declined in the 'PIIGS' from their peak since the month the peak in foreign holdings was reached. This is the chart that allows one to extrapolate what will likely happen in Spain and Italy going forward. The main difference being that the amounts involved are truly staggering compared to the fairly small 'GIP' countries.



A chart that shows by how much foreign bond holdings have fallen in the PIIGS since the month of their peak. As can be seen, the trends are closely tracking, regardless of how far along the process each country is - click chart for better resolution.



As King notes, judging from the average decline in foreign bank deposits and bond holdings in the 'GIP' trio (52% and 33% respectively), a further €215 billion resp. €214 billion are left to go in the case of Spain and Italy, skewed toward deposits in the former and toward government bonds in the latter (note here that euro area banks together hold some €1.2 trillion in Italian government bonds – a sizeable chunk of these holdings has now shifted from non-Italian to Italian banks following the government's debt auctions and refinancings after LTRO 1 and 2 funding was received by the banks.

The First Rule of ELA: You Don't Talk About ELA

recent article at Bloomberg discusses the secrecy surrounding ELA ('emergency liquidity assistance') financing and the problems created by the questions surrounding the Greek banking system. We have talked about the 'catch 22' the ECB finds itself in late last week, and this article adds some more color. Incidentally, there is a video found at that link as well, which shows an interview with Standard Chartered's chief economist.
What he says about the 'TARGET-2' imbalances is precisely what we have frequently pointed out for about the past year or so: they are not a problem, unless the euro area falls apart. Then they will become a major headache.

„The first rule of ELA is you don’t talk about ELA.
The European Central Bank is trying to limit the flow of information about so-called Emergency Liquidity Assistance, which is increasingly being tapped by distressed euro-region financial institutions as the debt crisis worsens. Focus on the program intensified last week after news leaked that the ECB moved some Greek banks out of its regular refinancing operations and onto ELA until they are sufficiently capitalized.
European stocks fell and the euro weakened on May 16 as investors sought clarity on how the Greek financial system would be kept alive. The episode highlights the ECB’s dilemma as it tries to save banks without taking too much risk onto its own balance sheet. While policy makers argue that secrecy is needed around ELA to prevent panic, the risk is that markets jump to the worst conclusion anyway.
“The lack of transparency is a double-edged sword,” said David Owen, chief European economist at Jefferies Securities International in London. “On the one hand, it increases uncertainty, but at the same time we do not necessarily want to know how bad things are as it can add fuel to the fire.”
Under ELA, the 17 national central banks in the euro area are able to provide emergency liquidity to banks that can’t put up collateral acceptable to the ECB. The risk is borne by the central bank in question, ensuring any losses stay within the country concerned and aren’t shared across all euro members, known as the euro system.
Each ELA loan requires the assent of the ECB’s 23-member Governing Council and carries a penalty interest rate, though the terms are never made public. Owen estimates that euro-area central banks are currently on the hook for about 150 billion euros ($189 billion) of ELA loans. The program has been deployed in countries includingGermany, Belgium, Ireland and now Greece. An ECB spokesman declined to comment on matters relating to ELA for this article.
The ECB buries information about ELA in its weekly financial statement. While it announced on April 24 that it was harmonizing the disclosure of ELA on the euro system’s balance sheet under “other claims on euro-area credit institutions,” this item contains more than just ELA. It stood at 212.5 billion euros this week, up from 184.7 billion euros three weeks ago.
The ECB has declined to divulge how much of the amount is accounted for by ELA.

(emphasis added)
Well, we want to repeat here that what goes for 'TARGET-2' balances also holds for 'ELA': the risk is actually not confined to the nations where it is employed. It really depends on what happens – if the euro area breaks apart, then ELA exposures will radiate core-ward from the weakest countries such as Greece. The putative exit of Greece from the euro area may soon provide an illustration of the process. This is so because ultimately the TARGET system is used to finance ELA as well – it provides a kind of unsecured credit line. Yes, there is collateral that the national central banks hold in return for providing ELA, but this collateral is highly dubious. It is as though a completely 'netted out' chain of derivatives were to end at Tchai Wallah's mud hut in Calcutta as the ultimate bearer of the underlying risk: no matter how carefully everybody has 'hedged' their exposure, the whole chain would only be as good as its weakest link (this is merely meant as an illustration – players in the derivatives markets are generally quite careful about their counterparties and about obtaining adequate collateralization – more so than they once used to be. The biggest danger in that murky space is the extent to which third party – speak customer – assets are employed for collateralization purposes).
There are a few more interesting remarks in the Bloomberg article (which describes ELA as 'part of the euro system's furniture'):

„Greek banks tapped their central bank for 54 billion euros in January, according to its most recently published figures. That has since risen to about 100 billion euros, the Financial Times reported on May 22, without citing anyone.
Ireland’s central bank said last year it received “formal comfort” from the country’s finance minister that it wouldn’t sustain losses on collateral received from banks in return for ELA.
“If the collateral underpinning the ELA falls short, the government steps in,” said Philip Lane, head of economics at Trinity College Dublin. “Essentially, ELA represents the ECB passing the risk back to the sovereign. That could be the trigger for potential default or, in Greece’s case, potential exit.”
[…]
A Greek departure could spark a further flight of deposits from banks in other troubled euro nations, according to UBS AG economists, leaving them more reliant on funding from monetary authorities. Banks in Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal and Spain saw a decline of 80.6 billion euros, or 3.2 percent, in household and corporate deposits from the end of 2010 through March this year, according to ECB data.
“ELA is a symptom of the strain in the system, and Greece is the tip of the iceberg here,” Owen said. “As concerns mount about break-up, that sparks deposit flight. Suddenly we’re talking about 350 billion, 400 billion as bigger countries avail of ELA.”
ELA emerged as part of the euro system’s furniture in 2008, when the global financial crisis led to the bailouts of German property lender Hypo-Real Estate AG and Belgian banking group Dexia. While the Bundesbank’s ELA facility has now been closed, Dexia Chief Executive Officer Pierre Mariani told the bank’s shareholders on May 9 that it continues to access around 12 billion euros of ELA funds.
ELA was a measure that gave central banks more flexibility to keep their banks afloat in situations of short-term stress, said Juergen Michels, chief euro-area economist at Citigroup Global Markets in London.
“It seems to be now a more permanent feature in the periphery countries,” Michels said, adding there’s a risk that “the ECB loses control to some extent over what’s going on.”
The ECB was forced to confirm on May 17 it had moved some Greek banks onto ELA after the news leaked out, roiling financial markets. The ECB said in an e-mail that as soon as the banks are recapitalized, which it expected to happen “soon,” they will regain access to its refinancing operations. The ECB “continues to support Greek banks,” it added. By approving ELA requests, the ECB is ensuring that banks that would otherwise not qualify for its loans have access to liquidity.
“The ELA is a perfect life-support system, but it’s not a system for what happens after that,” said Lorcan Roche Kelly, chief Europe strategist at Trend Macrolytics LLC in Clare, Ireland. “What you need is a bank resolution mechanism, a method to get rid of a bank that’s insolvent. In Ireland, and perhaps in Greece as well, the problem is that you’ve got banking systems that are insolvent.”

(emphasis added)
As far as we're aware, the FT is correct with its €100 billion ELA estimate for Greek banks, as the Bank of Greece has recently applied for an increase from €90 billion to €100 billion.  However,  we probably will have to revise our own estimate of the likely TARGET-2 liability of  Greece's Central Bank in light of the above mentioned size of ELA in January. Since that was roughly €54 billion, we would now estimate the latest TARGET-2 balance to be in the region of €150 billion rather than €135 billion.  This can be inferred from the balance sheet  the Bank of Greece published in January and the new ELA estimate.
In any case, as Mr. Kelly from Trend Macrolytics points out above, 'it is a perfect life support system' for zombie banks, but 'not a system for what happens after that'. As to the ECB trying to pass the risk buck back to the sovereigns that as a rule 'guarantee' the IOU's the commercial banks issue as collateral to their NCB's in ELA operations, this is completely moot in the case of insolvent sovereigns or in case the guarantee itself is what ultimately bankrupts the sovereign. Whoever extended the funds will end up eating the losses.

Stop the Presses: Losses for Bank Bondholders Are Now Part of the Plan? Well, Sort Of….

The following has received little attention, but it appears that some in the euro area have decided that inflicting losses on the unsecured senior bondholders of insolvent banks may after all not be such a bad thing.
Wow, capitalism for bank bondholders – this is an almost revolutionary concept these days. Will the world keep turning? Well, that is really the question – since these 'bail-in powers' will only be at the 'disposal of regulators' from 2018 onward – and  as everybody knows the world will end in 2012. Wait a moment though – say what? 'Bail-in powers'?
Since when are special powers for regulators required to make an unsecured creditor eat a loss? Does the term 'unsecured' mean anything at all? Is this how far the banking cartel has insinuated itself into the legal machinery that in order to let a bank fail, 'special powers' need to be invoked these days?

“The European Union will seek to give regulators the power to impose writedowns on senior unsecured creditors at failing banks as part of measures to prevent taxpayers from footing the bill for saving crisis-hit lenders.
The writedown powers would apply to senior unsecured debt and derivatives, while some other claims, including secured debt and deposits that are protected by government guarantee programs, would be shielded from the losses, according to draft plans obtained by Bloomberg News. Regulators would have the so- called bail-in powers from the start of 2018.
The cost of bank funding may increase as investors take on board the plans “but this is a natural process of getting taxpayers off the hook,” John Vickers, the chairman of the U.K.’s Independent Commission on Banking, said in a speech in Brussels yesterday. “It’s not sinister that funding costs go up if it’s for that reason.”
EU Financial Services Commissioner Michel Barnier had delayed proposing the law, which was originally scheduled to be released in September 2011, because of market turbulence. The Bloomberg Europe Banks and Financial Services Index has fallen 35.8 percent in the past year on concerns lenders have been weakened by the European sovereign-debt crisis.
Any bail-in of bank debt would “be accompanied by the removal of the management responsible for the problems of the institution,” according to the draft proposals, prepared by Barnier’s staff at the European Commission. The bank would face restructuring “in a way that addresses the reasons for its failure.”

(emphasis added)
Readers may recall we have mentioned Mr. Barnier before – and rarely in a favorable manner. For instance, he was at the forefront of attempting to ban 'naked' CDS trading – meaning, trading would only be possible by 'appointment' and with his bureaucracy's placet. He was also calling for short selling bans on financial shares. In other words, he wanted to remove the possibility for anyone to hedge themselves against profligate governments and floundering banks. It doesn't seem to have occurred to him that in a derivatives transaction such as a CDS contract, at the very minimum one of the parties is always 'naked' (if a holder of a government bond wants to buy insurance, the seller of the insurance does not need to have a position in the market concerned – he must only be willing and able to bear the risk).
But the proposal to not only let unsecured creditors of banks assume the losses that are rightfully theirs but in addition to actually 'remove the management responsible for the problems of the institutions' concerned, why that is… it leaves one almost speechless.
Imagine that! Management actually accepting responsibility for running a bank into the ground by resigning! Why has nobody thought of that before? And from 2018 onward to boot, that is practically only a few heartbeats away! Barnier the anarchist!
Presumably, until then, one has absolutely nothing to fear as an unsecured bondholder of an insolvent bank, while management can rest assured that it will simply remain in place to continue to administer the carcass if need be and grab as much bonus loot as possible while the getting is good. This is like a heads-up to the rats on the sinking ship, telling them that six years from now, they may well be facing a life-raft ban. We'll check back on this in 2018 and will let you know what happened.
To be fair, the article does mention that there are a few courageous souls demanding that these new rules be instated right away.

Credit Market Charts

Below is our customary update of credit market charts, including the usual suspects: CDS on various sovereign debtors and banks, bond yields, euro basis swaps and a few other charts. Charts and price scales are color coded (readers should keep the different price scales in mind when assessing 4-in-1 charts). Where necessary we have provided a legend for the color coding below the charts.  Prices are as of Friday's close.
A few CDS spreads have moved to new highs for the move (e.g. those on Italy and Greece), while others have retreated somewhat – so last week ended on a mixed note. There were noteworthy moves in CDS on several CEE nations.



5 year CDS on Portugal, Italy, Greece and Spain - click chart for better resolution.



5 year CDS on France, Belgium, Ireland and Japan - click chart for better resolution.



5 year CDS on Bulgaria, Croatia, Hungary and Austria - click chart for better resolution.



5 year CDS on Latvia, Lithuania, Slovenia and Slovakia - click chart for better resolution.



5 year CDS on Romania, Poland,  the Ukraine and Estonia - click chart for better resolution.



5 year CDS on Germany (white) , the US (orange) and the Markit SovX index of CDS on 19 Western European sovereigns (yellow) - click chart for better resolution.



5 year CDS on Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Morocco and Turkey - click chart for better resolution.



Three month, one year, three year and five year euro basis swaps – following a relentless plunge throughout most of May, the longer dated basis swaps finally manage to bounce - click chart for better resolution.



Our proprietary unweighted index of 5 year CDS on eight major European banks (BBVA, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena, Societe Generale, BNP Paribas, Deutsche Bank, UBS, Intesa Sanpaolo and Unicredito) – in consolidation mode - click chart for better resolution.



10 year government bond yields of Italy, Greece, Portugal and Spain - click chart for better resolution.



Austria's 10 year government bond yield (green), Ireland's 9 year yield (white), UK gilts (yellow) and [the Greek two year note yield (orange) – please ignore that one – we couldn't persuade the system to spit out the correct yield. It really stands at 225%]; but UK gilt yields and Austrian 10 year yields at new lows are certainly noteworthy - click chart for better resolution.




5-year CDS on Australia's 'Big Four' banks. Still reflecting 'risk off' mode in financial markets, which is to say, risk for them is increasing – click chart for better resolution.



Addendum 1: Greek Police Enters Deposit Flight Debate

The latest organization deployed to dissuade Greek citizens from getting their money out of the banks post-haste is apparently the Greek police. The argument appears to center on the possibility that withdrawn money could become the object of desire of enterprising thieves. Opportunistic crisis-profiteers, so to speak.

“Police are urging Greeks to keep their money in bank accounts rather than putting it at risk of theft, amid further uncertainty about whether the austerity-struck country will remain in the eurozone.
Greece's banks are likely to be shored up on Friday or Monday with €18bn (£14bn) of bailout funds they have been due to receive for weeks but which were held up by political uncertainty caused by inconclusive elections. Greece goes to the polls again on June 17, further stoking fears about its future within the euro.
The scale of withdrawals from Greek banks – almost 25% of deposits have been taken out in the past two years – and fears that other countries may suffer mass withdrawals has led to speculation that a eurozone-wide guarantee is needed to maintain confidence in the banking system.
Greece's national police spokesman, Thanassis Kokkalakis, told Reuters: "Many people have withdrawn their money from the banks fearing a financial crash, and they either carry it on them, find a hideout at home or in storage rooms.
"We urge people to trust the banking system, leave their money there, or at least in a safe place, not hide it at home, where they must anyway take the basic security measures."

(emphasis added)
Well, dear Greek citizens, as anyone in Argentina can tell you: it is so much better and more fun when the banks or the government steal your money! At least it will then have been used for the  noble cause of propping up the banks and their lackeys in politics – what more can you ask of your deposits?

Addendum 2: Dallara's  Latest Apocalyptic Predictions

IIF chief Charles Dallara was let loose from his cage for a few moments last week in order to inform us that a Greek exit from the euro would still – even after the PSI deal – be the equivalent of Lehman squared. Or perhaps even Lehman cubed.
He actually has a point insofar as all the debts contracted in euro terms would need to be sorted out after a Greek exit from the euro, a task that would most likely see countless defaults occur (not to mention that it sounds like a legal nightmare of vast proportions). Also, French banks in particular continue to be exposed to Greek debtors in the private sector, so there would presumably be quite a few direct losses to banks in addition to the several hundred billion euros various public sector entities (the 'troika') would likely have to write off.
Dallara's favorite number is €1 trillion 'or more' in total losses. It's a nice, round, fat and scary number. He even says that 'the ECB will be rendered insolvent', which we rather tend to doubt, since it is in possession of a printing press. This is like saying that the Pakistani mafia will run out of faked Indian rupees. Not likely going to happen.
Dalllara thinks therefore that someone should quickly throw an additional €10 billion at Greece to 'help its economy' (that someone being the euro area tax cows outside of Greece). How that would alter the situation (except that another €10 billion would go down the drain) is not made quite clear. Curiously he sounds rather more sanguine about Spain, although 'contagion effects' are a big part of his loss estimate.

Labels

"backyard" "bank holiday" "Change" "Jewish Achievements" 1st Amendment 2nd amendment 4GW 4th Reich 7/7 9/11 abiotic oil abuses of power ACTA Afghanistan AfPak Africa AFRICOM agenda 21 al-CIAduh alternative currencies American revolution anarchy apocalypse Argentina ARTICHOKE Asia Asian Energy Security Grid assassinations asteroids austerity AWOL ballistic missiles B/S backfire bad cops bailout bailout scam bank nazionalization banksters big oil big pharma Bilderberg Bin Laden biofuels biological warfare biological weapons biological weapons research bioterrorism bird flu bitcoins black ops Blackwater Brazil BRICs Brzezinski bubbles cap and trade capitalism carbon credits carbon tax carbon trade cash nexus cass sunstein casus belli CDS Central Asia central banks CFR Cheney China CIA CIA assets civil wars class conflicts class structure class warfare climategate COINTELPRO collapse Color revolutions COMEX default communism community currencies Congo conspiracies conspiracy theories Constitution Copyright corporate "personhood" corporate law corporatocracy corruption countercoup counterinsurgency Coup D'etat covert agents covert operations covert ops covert war covert warfare coverup crazy lone gunmen crimes against humanity currencies currency war dancing israelis David Kelly dead microbiologists death squads debt debt bondage debt bubble debt monetization debtors' prisons deep politics default deficit deflation deglobalization deindustralization deja vu delocalization democracy depleted uranium depopulation depression deregulation derivatives detentions Detroit devaluation devolution dictatorship Dimitri Khalezov dirty tricks dirty wars disaster capitalism disaster management discovery disinformation dissent diy diy currencies DMCA drones drugs trade DU dystopias eastern europe ECB eco-fascism economic cycle economic hitmen economic warfare Egypt electromagnetic weapons electronic surveillance elite consensus elitist propaganda Ellen Brown emerging markets end game energy engineered clusterfuck Ethiopia EU EU666 eugenics euro eurocracy eurocrats europe fake bonds fake democracy fake gold fake revolutions fake terrorism false flags fascism fascism 2.0 FED FEMA FEMA death camps fiat money Finance Capitalism forecasts ForeclosureGate foreclosures FOREIGN TRADE ZONES Fort Detrick fractional reserve banking France fraudclosures fraudonomics frauds Free books free money free speech freedom Fukushima funny money G20 gatekeepers Gaza genocides geoengineering Geopolitics Germany Ghana ghost towns Gladio global currency Global warming hoax globalization GMO gold gold manipulation gold standard Goldman Sachs golpe google Grand Chessboard great depression 2.0 great game Greece Green shoots greenbackers Guantanamo Gulf of Tonkin gun ban gun control Guns H.R. 45 HAARP habeas corpus hackers Haiti Halliburton happiness health health care bill health care reform hemp heroin high frequency trading historical cycles history hitler hoaxes Honduras House Bill 1796 how-to human organs trafficking human rights Hungary hunger hyperinflation ICC Iceland Illuminati IMF imf riots immigration imperialism incoherence income distribution income tax India inequalities infiltration inflation inflationary depression information war insider trading insolvency instability insurgency intelligence International Criminal Court international political economy internet censorship internet warfare ior IP IPCC Iran Iraq Ireland IRS Israel israeli assets Israeli firsters Israeli killers israeli lobby Israeli Organ Harvesting israeli terrorism italy Ivory Coast jesuits jews JFK Jim Willie JPM k-waves Kazakhstan Keynesianism Kissinger kleptocracy Kosovo Krugman KUBARK Kurt Sonnenfeld Kyrgyzstan Land Grab Large Hadron Collider Larry Summers Latin America LBMA Lee Harvey Oswald legitimacy crisis legitimation lesser evilism Libya lies Limited Hang Out Lincoln Lisbon Treaty lobbying local currencies Lockerbie Logan Act lol looting lsd mafia Mali Manchurian candidates Mandatory vaccinations maquiladoras market manipulations martial law Martin Armstrong Medicare meltdown MENA Mend mercenaries Mexico MI5 Michael Chertoff Michael Hudson Middle East migrations Military Industrial Complex military research military spending military tribunals militias mind control mind tricks Minerva Research Initiative Minot missing nukes missile defense missing pathogens MKDELTA MKNAOMI MKSEARCH MKULTRA money money as debt money laundering money supply Mongolia monsanto Montenegro morgellons mossad msm Mumbai narco-states narcodollars narcotics national debt National Emergencies Act national emergency native Americans NATO NDAA neo-Malthusians neocolonialism neocons neofeudalism neuroscience NGOs Nigeria NLP Non-lethal Weapons Noriega North Korea Norway NSA NSPD-51 nuclear demolition nukes NWO odious debt Oil OKLAHOMA CITY bombing oligarchy OOTW Operation Ajax operation CONDOR Operation Fast and Furious operation Mockingbird Operation Northwoods operation paperclip Operation Strange Man opium Orwell outrages p2p currencies Pakistan Palestine Panama Panarin pandemics paper money Paraguay paranoia paranoia pimping patents Patriot Act patsies pauperization peak oil pearl harbor Pennsylvania pensions Pentagon persuasion Peru pervs philippines Phoenix program piigs pimping Pipelinestan piracy Pirates plagues planned disasters Plum Island plutocracy PMCs PNAC poison pills Poland police state political economy political fakeries polls ponzi schemes pork Posse Comitatus Act pot poverty poverty business power elite pr0n predictive programming prepping primitive accumulation prison industrial complex prison population private debt privatizations problem-solution prohibitionism Project Artichoke Project Bluebird Project Censored Project MK/NAOMI Project Mockingbird project monarch Prompt Corrective Action Law propaganda prostitution protests provocateurs psy-ops psycho-police psychotronic warfare Ptech public policies qe qe2 R2P rabbis crackdown real wages regime change regulations relative disadvantage religion renditions renewable energy reserve currency resistance revolution revolution (how to) revolutions riots robots Rockfeller Roman Empire Rothschilds Rumsfeld Rupert Murdoch Russia Rwanda s510 sabbateans Salvador Option samson option saudi arabia sayanim SCADs scams scandals scares schemes SCO SDR secrecy secret algorithms Secret services sedition self-employment self-reliance serial killers sex scandals sheeple shock capitalism SHTF silver sixties slavery slums social conflicts social currencies social movements social research Social Security social spending socialization of costs somalia Soros sound money South Africa South Caucasus South Korea Southern Poverty Law Center Sovereignty Sovereignty Resolutions spain special economic zones spin spyware stagflation state of exception state secrets state terrorism statistics stimulus stuxnet submarines subprime Sudan suicides superbugs superimperialism suppressed technologies supremacist racist genocidal apocalyptic cults surveillance Survivalism SVADs sweden Swine Flu syria Taliban Tamiflu TAPI taxes tea party technocracy Tennessee TEOTWAWKI terrorism Thailand The Fourth Turning the left The Mogambo Guru Thirdworldization TIPS tiranny torture totalitarism toxic assets toxic waste trade deficit trade war treason Treasuries Bubble Tri-Border Area Trickle down trolls tsa tunisia Turkey uganda UK Ukraine UN underclass upper class US $ US army US bonds seized US debt US elections US gulags US hunger US secessionists US Treasuries US666 useful idiots vaccines VAT vatican Venezuela vets vietghanistan Vietnam violent conflicts virii Voodoo war war crimes WAR CRIMINALS war on drugs war party war pimps war propaganda warfare warfare state wars water WB wealth distribution web bot weed Weimar weird welfare white collar criminals White phosphorous WHO who rules Wikileaks wikipedia witch hunt WMD working poors world bank world economy world hegemony world reserve currency world trade WTF WTO WW3 xe Xinjiang Yemen Yuan Yugoslavia Zimbabwe zionism zionist trolls zious
Protect Your ASSets: Buy Gold or Silver NOW - If you wait you will be late.
(He who panics first, just may salvage something.